Yes I do not think the next expansion will be coming any time soon. But instead the next Elite Specialization and battle with the next Elder Dragon will be added with Living Story.
Why? Because for starters it’s much too early for another – HoT was released over 3 years after GW2 came out and it was after 2 seasons of LS while we are only 2 episodes in with the new one. Also how much more can the battle be prolonged this time? LS1 took place before Mordremoth awakened and it was the de facto final goal of it. While LS2 was about the effects it had on the world after awakening. Primordus however is already at the “effect” stage so how much more story can be squeezed out of it?
There are 2 other things which indicate that expac2 is nowhere near yet:
1) the 2nd generation of legendary weapons. It’s already been a year since HoT came out and we only have 5 so far. Even if there won’t be any aquatic weapons thats still not even half of the new set. As there are still 11 legendary weapons to go.
Now we can of course assume expac2 can come out regardless. But what if it brings a 3rd generation? We will have 3rd generation when 2nd isn’t complete yet?
Ok so maybe it won’t give any new legendary weapons but that will still be releasing next expansion before we have full content from previous one yet.
Or maybe we will get like other half of 2nd generation with expac2? That would be a HUGE D*** move. Plus expac2 would mean new areas which would be required for the other half of the 2nd generation. And you can’t exactly call them same generation and/or set if you need 2 different expansions to get them all.
2) The amount of Hero Point’s. Apart from the 398 we gain from leveling which is exactly enough to master all Core Spec’s and Skill’s we get them from challanges.
there are exactly 200 in the core map’s (Dry Top and Silverwastes included) 400 in HoT maps plus 13 from WvW and 1 from Krait Obelisk which gives a total of 614. But even if we omit the last 2 it’s still 600. So after fully mastering our Elite Spec which costs 250 that still leaves us with 350. So the cost is not even half of how many we can get. So what are we suppose to do with all those point’s? If next Elite Spec comes out with next expansion it will have new areas which will have new challenges. But we will be able to fully train it even without ever going to them. Also the amount of unspent point’s will increase by another 150. Assuming we get another 400 after spending the next 250 on Elite Spec 2 we still have 500 unused point’s (350 old + 150 new unused).
That’s enough for another 2 Elite Specializations and there is no other use for them.
Now the answer to this is that maybe Elite Spec 2 will require more point’s – not likely as we will be altering between them and that would put one above the other. No they will need to cost same amount just like each Core Spec cost’s 60 to fully master.
Now someone will say that maybe the new areas won’t have any challenges. Ok then how will those that don’t have HoT fully unlock the new Elite Spec? I mean if that’s the case then they will only have the 200 – 214 available from Core maps without HoT.
So only those that have HoT and expac2 will be able to unlock Elite Spec 2.
And there is no way expac2 will give access to HoT too. No that’s the whole plan Core content will be for free while each expansion will have to be bought separately. Well it’s likely HoT will be like 50% off when expac2 comes out but it won’t be for free.
So yeah I think this new content will come with LS. Of course you can say that new Elite Spec yes but the fight with next Elder Dragon only with expansion. However it would kinda contradict the lore. As it is implied we gained our Elite Specs by entering the Heart of Maguuma i.e. the dragon’s territory i.e. we needed them to even the odd’s. So our next Elite Spec should also be gained from fighting the next Elder Dragon.