Arenanet are monitoring precursors

Arenanet are monitoring precursors

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Posted by: Gasoline.2570

Gasoline.2570

Dusk being at 750g is “working as intended”, don’t worry. This is perfectly normal.

The balance team is chained to SPVP, and the PVE team is all about producing carnivals

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Posted by: Sunreva.8714

Sunreva.8714

It is normal. It’s worth whatever someone is willing to pay for it. If you don’t like it, don’t buy it.

There IS a ceiling that these precursors will eventually reach, because there is a threshold where you’d be better off MF gambling for a fraction of the sell price and will eventually get the item.

While gambling 100 gold might not get you the item, gambling 250 or 500 GREATLY puts the odds in your favor, and eventually your number will come up. No doubt if you’ve gambled 750g (the sell price of that Dusk) and you still haven’t gotten it (or Dawn) yet, then you’re either doing something wrong (gambling with level 50 blues) or are lying about it.

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Posted by: Zumy.6318

Zumy.6318

I personally know a guy who already spent over 1k gold gambling for the legend.
And at this point it became everything his game experience is about…

I guess I should tell him using 20k greens wont work…

Seriously Sunreava, your post should be overthought and you really should visit mathschool for some statistic lessons.

Thief | Zumy [Buka]
Legendary counter: Twilight, Bolt, Incinerator, Incinerator Nr. 2, Meteorlogicus, The Dreamer

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Posted by: SteepledHat.1345

SteepledHat.1345

Lol, this is perfectly normal. Your endgame experience is in the hands of the lucky few and the uber rich. Just get used to it.

Also, Sunreva you seem to completely misunderstand probability.

“Failure to remain calm is the sign of a weak mind.”

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Posted by: Protoavis.9107

Protoavis.9107

I personally know a guy who already spent over 1k gold gambling for the legend.
And at this point it became everything his game experience is about…

I guess I should tell him using 20k greens wont work…

Seriously Sunreava, your post should be overthought and you really should visit mathschool for some statistic lessons.

I’ve made 8 precursors so far with the mystic forge and all of them have turned a profit of atleast 200 g profit from from the exotics I bought to forge, honestly if aslong as you’re willing to dump around 200g on exotics to stick in the forge you’re VERY (and in my case so far every time) likely to get a precursor back.

Let us buy vendor mats (eg spools of thread) in 250 stacks, end the excessive clicking.

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Posted by: Autumn.8043

Autumn.8043

The MF is a MASSIVE gamble, one that has never payed off for me no matter how much gold i dump into it. I find it hard to muster the energy to earn the gold back but that is my problem.

You’re more likely to poop out a golden nugget.

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Posted by: Ath.2531

Ath.2531

Until there is a statistic of the probability of getting one by using rares/exotics, i shall stay away from the MF just like i always have except from when i was getting the gifts/legendary or the occasional Mystic exotic.

Peace with the numbers i shall make, but with randomness never.

Commander Athrael ThunderBorn
GM of Crew of Misfits (CoM)
Piken Square, EU

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Posted by: Novalight.7568

Novalight.7568

I personally know a guy who already spent over 1k gold gambling for the legend.
And at this point it became everything his game experience is about…

I guess I should tell him using 20k greens wont work…

Seriously Sunreava, your post should be overthought and you really should visit mathschool for some statistic lessons.

I’ve made 8 precursors so far with the mystic forge and all of them have turned a profit of atleast 200 g profit from from the exotics I bought to forge, honestly if aslong as you’re willing to dump around 200g on exotics to stick in the forge you’re VERY (and in my case so far every time) likely to get a precursor back.

Search for posts where people exceeded those amounts and got 0. And even back in the day, when 200g was uber moneyz for most aka those 200g got you far more than now.

“GW2 takes everything you love about GW1” – M. O’Brien
“We just don’t want players to grind in GW2” – C. Johanson
“The most important thing in any game should be the player” – R. Soesbee

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Posted by: Drunken Mad King.8193

Drunken Mad King.8193

It is normal. It’s worth whatever someone is willing to pay for it. If you don’t like it, don’t buy it.

There IS a ceiling that these precursors will eventually reach, because there is a threshold where you’d be better off MF gambling for a fraction of the sell price and will eventually get the item.

While gambling 100 gold might not get you the item, gambling 250 or 500 GREATLY puts the odds in your favor, and eventually your number will come up. No doubt if you’ve gambled 750g (the sell price of that Dusk) and you still haven’t gotten it (or Dawn) yet, then you’re either doing something wrong (gambling with level 50 blues) or are lying about it.

You really have no understanding of what random means….. no clue at all. It makes you seem very foolish. Look at this post.

https://forum-en.gw2archive.eu/forum/support/bugs/Science-552g-worth-of-GSwords-into-M-Forge/first#post1340082

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Posted by: Konde.8594

Konde.8594

A secret: some people are getting a lot of gold with precursors and mystic forge. People who know statistics can play with MF efficiently.

Just this.

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Posted by: Protoavis.9107

Protoavis.9107

It is normal. It’s worth whatever someone is willing to pay for it. If you don’t like it, don’t buy it.

There IS a ceiling that these precursors will eventually reach, because there is a threshold where you’d be better off MF gambling for a fraction of the sell price and will eventually get the item.

While gambling 100 gold might not get you the item, gambling 250 or 500 GREATLY puts the odds in your favor, and eventually your number will come up. No doubt if you’ve gambled 750g (the sell price of that Dusk) and you still haven’t gotten it (or Dawn) yet, then you’re either doing something wrong (gambling with level 50 blues) or are lying about it.

You really have no understanding of what random means….. no clue at all. It makes you seem very foolish. Look at this post.

https://forum-en.gw2archive.eu/forum/support/bugs/Science-552g-worth-of-GSwords-into-M-Forge/first#post1340082

1: using rares is such a low chance (there are lvl 76 EXOTIC weapons people that you can generally sell the resultant 80 back from the sum cost of the 4 lvl 76 weapons you threw in….be smart), first you need to upgrade to an exotic AND from that pool getting the INCREDIBLY TINY chance of the precursor, compared with just using exo’s and only having to factor in the small chance at a precursor.

2. of his 440 combines, only around 80 of them were relevant (ie the ones resulting in an exotic, this 80 being the equivalent of around 48g with lvl 76 exo’s…see a discrepancy?) given that the chance to me seems to be about 0.5% to 1% with exotics it’s perfectly reasonable that one didn’t pop out.

3. he doesn’t mention what the value of the exotics he got in return were, just that he used them to buy more rares. So he says he spent worth 552g, but realistically he was recovering costs and wasn’t really losing that much at all.

Let us buy vendor mats (eg spools of thread) in 250 stacks, end the excessive clicking.