Super Weapon Skin Speculation

Super Weapon Skin Speculation

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Posted by: nearlight.3064

nearlight.3064

Hi all!

I was in a foreign country during the first super adventure box release and never got to play it or watch the economic position of the super skins over time.

For those experienced with the first round of skins, do you think a situation will unfold with the new skins where during the month of september they are cheaply priced at 2-3 gold, but rise after september to 10-20 gold due to a drainage of supply and (hopefully) constant demand?

I’m interested in this topic because many peoplemake money off flipping event items months later when their prices go up. I’m interested if the mechanics for acquiring these skins will make this investment strategy a worthy proposition or not.

Necromancer Main
Taking a break from GW2 to play various
Nintendo games..

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Posted by: Ursan.7846

Ursan.7846

http://www.gw2spidy.com/item/41946

Super skins were higher cost when the SAB was in, but price has remained low ever since.

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Posted by: Lane.3410

Lane.3410

The super skins from last time started out moderately high. I think the GS was originally listed for somewhere around 40g? (Okay, that was high at the time. :P) However, as more and more people played SAB and got the skin drops the prices dropped by half or more, the GS went to about 16g.

Then the price spiked because (assumed) speculators started buying up all the skins. Then it started falling again due to supply. Then it was announced the skins were a one-time-only deal and prices skyrocketed (mostly among speculators). However, demand was really low after the fact and after reaching a peak (GS at about 80g) prices crashed hard. GS went down to below 20g at one point post-SAB if I recall correctly.

People thought the prices would go up again, but they never did. They’ve been steadily falling since May. A lot of people got burned on super skin investments, so I don’t even know what to predict this time.

Huh. GS started off higher than I remember, but by April 3rd they’d already fallen to ~20g. Though gw2spidy isn’t showing when they peaked around ~84g, they must not have been at that price long enough.

(edited by Lane.3410)

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Posted by: Exanthematicus.5236

Exanthematicus.5236

Is that true, that SAB skins are one time and we won’t have a reintroduction of the older skins? I invested hard into them thinking they’d be the next halloween skin items, man, never have I been so wrong. The SAB link:
https://www.guildwars2.com/en/the-game/releases/september-03-2013/

It feels like they might be reintroducing the skins? Anyone else with insight is greatly appreciated!

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Posted by: nearlight.3064

nearlight.3064

So I’m getting the vibe that the SAB skins this time around will be too much of a risk to invest in. Which is sad since the desert rose skins and wind catchers from july were veritable gold mines.

Necromancer Main
Taking a break from GW2 to play various
Nintendo games..

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Posted by: Lane.3410

Lane.3410

Isn’t the rose still available via Southsun Survival?

I’m surprised the holographic wings haven’t gone down more in price yet.

Well, after the super skins I’ve been leery of investing in any other cosmetics. I’m not much of a gambler to begin with and I was harshly reminded why with those.

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Posted by: nearlight.3064

nearlight.3064

The desert rose skin could be bought for 2 gold during the event, and now costs 7-8 gold on the TP. People don’t really play much southsun survival anymore, so the influx of new skins is lower, so the price climbed.

Necromancer Main
Taking a break from GW2 to play various
Nintendo games..

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Posted by: Zaxares.5419

Zaxares.5419

Can the Desert Rose skin still be obtained? I thought it’s no longer possible to get it from playing Southsun Survival.

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Posted by: nearlight.3064

nearlight.3064

Can the Desert Rose skin still be obtained? I thought it’s no longer possible to get it from playing Southsun Survival.

I honestly do not know. All I know is I bout it for 2 gold, and just now sold it for 7.5 gold.

My only regret is that I didn’t spend all my money on the desert roses when they first came out, then I could have had 300-400 gold right now.

Necromancer Main
Taking a break from GW2 to play various
Nintendo games..

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Posted by: Zumy.6318

Zumy.6318

I know someone that bought 2700 roses below 2g.
OFC now John Smith will say ppl having over 100,000g gold is not realistic. Also show some graphs that precursers are bought by unique buyers.
And everybody will believe it.

Thief | Zumy [Buka]
Legendary counter: Twilight, Bolt, Incinerator, Incinerator Nr. 2, Meteorlogicus, The Dreamer

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Posted by: Jabberwock.9014

Jabberwock.9014

Buying that many roses probably caused the price to go up in and of itself. Can you imagine if all those roses were dumped now? Don’t get me wrong, it was a great investment that I regret not taking advantage of (was SOOO close to dropping hundreds of g on them… stupid catchers not going up in price made me think twice), but he won’t be able to get all the money at once (and I certainly won’t be buying any at the current price knowing there is someone with that hoard).

Get stoned whenever you want:
Endless Petrification Tonic

(edited by Jabberwock.9014)

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Posted by: Zumy.6318

Zumy.6318

They sell very very fast at current prices.
I had a stack of divinity bought for 60s each. They sold in not time.

People out there have up to 50 mules with full bagslots and 4 maxed guildbanks and still dont know where to put their investments.
Quartz and Sprockets were sold 1c above vendoring prices in millions.

Thief | Zumy [Buka]
Legendary counter: Twilight, Bolt, Incinerator, Incinerator Nr. 2, Meteorlogicus, The Dreamer

(edited by Zumy.6318)

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Posted by: kokiman.2364

kokiman.2364

I know someone that bought 2700 roses below 2g.
OFC now John Smith will say ppl having over 100,000g gold is not realistic. Also show some graphs that precursers are bought by unique buyers.
And everybody will believe it.

And a friend of mine bought ~120500 Zephir backpacks.

GuildWars 2

Currently playing Heart of Thorns.

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Posted by: Vol.5241

Vol.5241

I know someone that bought 2700 roses below 2g.
OFC now John Smith will say ppl having over 100,000g gold is not realistic. Also show some graphs that precursers are bought by unique buyers.
And everybody will believe it.

And a friend of mine bought ~120500 Zephir backpacks.

Yeah are those stackable? If not then..yeah

Buying a huge quantity of an item that has low to medium demand is not exactly efficient.

I can understand buying thousands of crafting materials.

But skins?

The demand will never keep up with that.

[Permabanned on Forums]
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Magic find works. http://sinasdf.imgur.com/

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Posted by: Electro.4173

Electro.4173

Yes, skins are stackable.

I ain’t touching Super Skins with a 10-foot pole, and will be selling every skin I get during the event if the price is even somewhat worthwhile.

I kept my Super Shield and Super Scepter skins that I got as drops during SAB thinking the price would only go up, and… lol, no. Could have sold the shield for 60g during the event, now its going for 12g (and I’ve seen it as low as 8g).

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Posted by: Lane.3410

Lane.3410

I ain’t touching Super Skins with a 10-foot pole, and will be selling every skin I get during the event if the price is even somewhat worthwhile.

Same. I’d be content just breaking even. I’m still kicking myself for not having sold at the peak when prices were more than double what I paid.

I haven’t invested in any skins since and I’m unlikely to either. I think the Halloween skins set a bad precedent being as rare and expensive as they were.

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Posted by: Vol.5241

Vol.5241

Yeah out of all my investment decisions, SAB skins have been the only one that didn’t rise. I lost 150g out of it and took it as a lesson learnt. I think a lot of people hopped on SAB skins after seeing what happened with the Halloween ones.

[Permabanned on Forums]
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Posted by: Jabberwock.9014

Jabberwock.9014

I know someone that bought 2700 roses below 2g.
OFC now John Smith will say ppl having over 100,000g gold is not realistic. Also show some graphs that precursers are bought by unique buyers.
And everybody will believe it.

And a friend of mine bought ~120500 Zephir backpacks.

Eh I highly doubt this… There is no way anyone could get that many buy orders fulfilled in that short amount of time, much less have the gold to back it up. There are no doubt no where near that many in existence.

Get stoned whenever you want:
Endless Petrification Tonic

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Posted by: Zumy.6318

Zumy.6318

He is kidding me because he thinks that either I or my friend ar liars. He will never know.

Thief | Zumy [Buka]
Legendary counter: Twilight, Bolt, Incinerator, Incinerator Nr. 2, Meteorlogicus, The Dreamer