Guild Wars 2

So it’s been awhile since I checked any lodestone’s price, and today I was checking on Glacial Lodestone that I needed, and found out it had actually doubled in price _

I checked gw2tp, and then saw this sudden spike increase which appeared after the Halloween patch (Oct. 21st).

After that, I checked all the other lodestones, and found only Crystal Lodestone is in similar situation (more than double the price compare to pre-patch).

Is there some sort of new high demand for these two lodestones during this Halloween update that I did not know about?

http://wiki.guildwars2.com/wiki/Gift_of_souls would be my guess for crystal lodestone’s increase in price

http://wiki.guildwars2.com/wiki/Superior_Sigil_of_the_Night would be my guess for glacial lodestone’s increase in price (as they are the cheapest out of the Sigil of the night recipes)

The Crossing, the Mad Moon and Arachnophobia crafting I guess.
Glacial is probably the cheapest one to craft sigils of the night and Crystals are used for the Gift of Souls, the Crossing being probably the most popular skin among those three (Best Tiryas Nougat Center is much more expensive than its counterparts).

I see…well Crystal Lodestone’s price increase is understandable, since it is The Crossing skin and 100 of it is needed.

I suspected it, but I didn’t understand how simply requiring Superior Sigil of the Night in the recipes for The Crossing/The Mad Moon/Arachnophobia could lead to such huge spike.

Then I looked closer and realized the amount of sigil needed is not 1, but 20…now I totally get it >_>

Blizt.3086:

I see…well Crystal Lodestone’s price increase is understandable, since it is The Crossing skin and 100 of it is needed.

I suspected it, but I didn’t understand how simply requiring Superior Sigil of the Night in the recipes for The Crossing/The Mad Moon/Arachnophobia could lead to such huge spike.

Then I looked closer and realized the amount of sigil needed is not 1, but 20…now I totally get it >_>

also: I crafted about 1000 superior sigils of night. just because I had so many candy corn from opening bags and knew it would also appreciate after halloween. I bought about 3 stacks of glacial lodestones (already had 1 in collections) They don’t exactly have a high supply… just low demand which made them cheap before.

If you find sudden changes to any material, it is usually a good approach to start your analysis by checking (a) if the material is a crafting/mystic toilet component and if other components have recently undergone a price change. After that, follow up with (b) checking the timeline, i.e. if a special event is taking place (Halloween, LS, …) OR if a special event is soon starting and therefore firing speculants’ imagination.

If you check the timeline for Halloween on gw2spidy, you can see that lots of speculation has taken place before the event started and that the sudden influx of candy corn and co has a (major) impact on trading goods.

Hint: The time between Halloween and Christmas is one of two times during a year, where you can make gold rather easily if you watch the market closely and bring some patience.