Guild Wars 2

I’ve seen a lot of places online where people have done SCIENCE on things like magic find and salvage kits, to figure out the actual rates that different things drop and such. I was wondering whether something similar has been done with Mystic Forge recipes that give a random quantity of a known item.

In the section on promoting common crafting materials, the wiki says only, “The number of materials you get out varies with the tier of materials in the process.” But how does it vary? Does it go up with tier, or down? Are there diminishing returns after repeated uses of the same promotion recipe (as there appeared to be the 5 times I did silver -> gold), or was that just bad luck? Do any other factors apart from the tiers of the materials have any effect on how many you’ll get?

The fine materials section gives a range (5-12) of how many of the upgraded item you’ll get, and the dust section speculates that it’s 10-50 and then lists the result from one single attempt (18).

I know I could run the experiments myself, but that would be a pretty expensive thing to do if someone else has already done it.

I transmuted 30 000 silver ores to gold ores – was getting anything between 40 to 200 ores, with about an average of 93. But that’s just 1 tier, thou maaaany attempts;)