Guild Wars 2

I noticed recently that I either have had a ton of bad luck or the chance of getting an exotic from 4 rares has changed. I have been playing with the forge for months and have had streaks of bad luck but it seems lately that the chance to get an exotic is a lot lower than it used to be. My thought is they reduced the chance to get exotics as a way to pull money out of the economy.
Anyone else notice a change, btw I am not referring to someone that played it once and got lucky I am looking for people that throw tons of items in it and their experience.

For example this week I have thrown over 100 rare weapons all lvl 76 plus and have received 2 cheap exotics

Anecdotal evidence like this pops up every once in a while claiming a nerf on countless things (forge return rate, ecto drop rate, material drop rate, etc.). Actually track your numbers from this point forward so you’ll get a clear result. Sometimes it feels like you’ve thrown a huge number in, but you actually haven’t.

I honestly doubt there’s been a change. I don’t use the forge often, so my personal return rates are rather insignificant. If there was a drastic change to return rates that you’re experiencing I’d suspect they’d have put it in the update notes or the whole community would be up-in-arms by now, of which neither has happened.

Of course it was nerfed. See the precursor prices?

100 sample size is way too small

I must have gotten all your luck. Put 20 rares in the MF on Saturday morning and got 4 exotics out of it.

Forge isn’t nerfed. RNG = RNG. Also, making items disappear doesn’t remove money from the economy. It just makes YOU lose money. Not the economy.

Believe it or not, there is a chance (albeit very low) for people to put thousands and thousands of rares into the Mystic forge and never get an exotic (ridiculous right?). While there is chance (once again very low) to put thousands and thousands of rares into the mystic forge and get an exotic every time. That’s just how RNG works.

RNGnanet strikes again.

NCsoft backing Anet? Aion style RNG meaning no one wins :-)