Mystic Clover and the odds

Mystic Clover and the odds

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Posted by: Reaper.1695

Reaper.1695

For those how keep track of this stuff, I just did 92 attempts (only had 92 ectos) for the Mystic Clovers and got 33. 35.8% chance.

However, not all is wasted. I did gain alot of ground on the T6 mat collecting! Somewhat win/win

Now to farm more ectos!

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Posted by: Trantzz.4160

Trantzz.4160

I did the 10x for my clovers. HOPING to see results like yours. I hit 80 clovers on 12 attempts. Only 1 “fail” gave me a decent T6. Was considering making more just to farm more T6.

Or just get on the CHAMP train..

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Posted by: Malediktus.9250

Malediktus.9250

It took me more than 3 stacks of ectos to get 154 clovers for eternity. I used the 10x recipe to 150, then 1x recipe for last 4. So even if we assume it was exactly 3 stacks and not more I got 20% mystic clovers.

1st person worldwide to reach 35,000 achievement points.

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Posted by: Sir Erighan.9260

Sir Erighan.9260

The wiki has all the documentation for the drop rates. They avg. around 33%. However, it will vary a lot, especially if you do the 10x recipe. I have ~225 clovers, so I know

Usually, when you want clovers you get t6 mats instead and when you want t6 mats, you get clovers. I’ve had runs where I wanted mats, did 10x x 10 recipes and got 50 clovers…those were sad days

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Posted by: aRTy.8951

aRTy.8951

If you want to get an average result in general, and in particular “get the clovers safe”, use the 1-recipe. Since you have a lot more MF-uses with that recipe, the variation will even out much more.

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Posted by: azizul.8469

azizul.8469

for my first legendary (Bolt) i was very very very lucky, just needed 110 shards to get 80 clovers.

for my second one (Kudzu), i needed around 250 shards to get 77 clovers……

Cutie Phantasmer/Farinas [HAX] – CD Casual
Archeage = Farmville with PK

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Posted by: Epic.3950

Epic.3950

150 attempts later and I had my clovers. my first legendary took me over 250

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Posted by: Zelu.1692

Zelu.1692

If you want the full statistics (and discussions around it) for Mystic Clover recipes, check below:

http://wiki.guildwars2.com/wiki/Mystic_Clover/Drop_rate

Based on data available so far the 10-unit recipe seems to have a slightly better yield-rate than the 1-unit recipe.

Zel

Zel Silverleaf – 80 Guardian
Zelyahine – 80 Ranger
Victory is Life Eternal [VILE] – Desolation

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Posted by: aRTy.8951

aRTy.8951

Based on data available so far the 10-unit recipe seems to have a slightly better yield-rate than the 1-unit recipe.

The results are very close, that is a usual variation with such data. Judging from the data, I see no reason to believe that the yield-rates are actually different (in the game code).

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Posted by: Zelu.1692

Zelu.1692

Based on data available so far the 10-unit recipe seems to have a slightly better yield-rate than the 1-unit recipe.

The results are very close, that is a usual variation with such data. Judging from the data, I see no reason to believe that the yield-rates are actually different (in the game code).

You’re probably right. The disparity was larger some weeks ago, but the gap is closing as more data is coming in (I hadn’t re-checked the figures before posting).

Zel Silverleaf – 80 Guardian
Zelyahine – 80 Ranger
Victory is Life Eternal [VILE] – Desolation

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Posted by: aRTy.8951

aRTy.8951

The disparity was larger some weeks ago, because 3 contributors used the table wrong. They did not add the number of times they got something, but added how much of something they received. For the 1 clover recipe thats the same, because you always get 1 single clover, but for other materials you get more than just 1 and often times it’s even a range like 2-4 or 1-5.

Consequently, the automatic calculations of the table template got a bit screwed, because the data of those contributors (how they entered it, not how they meant it) corresponded to chances of 9.5%, 13.8% and 15.6% for clover, which of course lowered the total chance of that data column.

I happened to notice that about two and a half weeks ago and corrected it with several edits (last minor one today).

You can find more on the discussion page Talk:Mystic Clover/Drop rate#spoiled data.

(edited by aRTy.8951)

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Posted by: Zelu.1692

Zelu.1692

Ah! Funny… When I entered my 1 clover recipe data some days ago I was thinking that some people might get it wrong and do what you just described…

Zel Silverleaf – 80 Guardian
Zelyahine – 80 Ranger
Victory is Life Eternal [VILE] – Desolation

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Posted by: Aralon.7501

Aralon.7501

It cost me 380 ecto’s to get 77 clovers, only used the 1x recipe. That’s about 20% chance, much lower than it’s supposed to be.

Aralon Mors – Norn Hybrid Necro
Aralon Scutum – Charr Healing Guardian
Far Shiverpeaks! – Guild of Tweakers [GoT]

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Posted by: papryk.6273

papryk.6273

It cost me 380 ecto’s to get 77 clovers, only used the 1x recipe. That’s about 20% chance, much lower than it’s supposed to be.

I feel your pain… I am at 40 clovers and spent already 220 ectos

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Posted by: Charming Rogue.8071

Charming Rogue.8071

I went for the clover recipe, and have 150 clovers now. I used the 10 recipe and spend about 250 ecto’s. The cool part about it, is that when I sold all the leftover mats I came out with a 15g profit (for some reason I had 20-30 t6 mats return with only 10 ecto’s used).

Not sure if I’m extremely lucky, but just wanted to throw it out there. At current t6 mat prices, and with a bit of luck, you’ll break even or even come out with a profit using the 10 recipe.

Actually, on second thought, I’m extremely lucky getting the clovers. Cause I got most of them at the end, I also could’ve gotten nothing. Then again, the only limited factor is karma and skill points, because when you don’t get clovers, you get mats you can sell and you hardly lose gold.

Desolation – EU – [KING] – Immortal Kingdom

(edited by Charming Rogue.8071)