Guild Wars 2

So, today I got Spark from the MF. I’ve thrown hundreds if not thousands (definately thousands) of lvl 80 crafted rare weapons into the Mystic Toilet. I averaged about 1 exotic per 4 combines (which I feel slightly lucky about…). I’ve never gone more than 7-8 combines without an exotic. I’ve NEVER had a serious cold streak until today. Today I had a SERIOUS cold streak… one that made me consider never using the MF again. I went around 0-20 (might have been 18, might have been 22) on combines without a exotic. The next exotic I pulled out of the forge was Spark. I find that weird.

My question is… has anyone else gone very long Mystic Forgin’ without an exotic and then gotten their precurser? Or is RNG just RNG and I just happened to get Spark after the longest period of not getting an exotic combine in my personal experience?

I thought it was worth a discussion….

Congrats, but I am afraid your question can only be answered with the age old “random is random”. I fall for seeing some pattern in randomness much too often myself.

Most random number generators today try to mimic true randomness where longer streaks are actually not that uncommon. I remember from a programming class about the mersenne twister that the teacher said something akin to a good RNG will create streaks… or something. Ah, it’s been too long…