Guild Wars 2

The one thing I am looking forward to about the next update. Here hoping its not too rare a drop or at least sellable.

It’s rare. You’ll also have to fly to the next pax in order to get one. :P

If it is sellable it will be 1000 gold. You will have to do teq 100000 times to get a .001 chance of getting it. Save your gold!

Stormcrow.7513:

If it is sellable it will be 1000 gold. You will have to do teq 100000 times to get a .001 chance of getting it. Save your gold!

Gamblers Fallacy, you could do Tequatl 10000000000 times, doesnt mean your chance is getting any better, the drop rate is individual…..

The point was don’t get your hopes up.

Stormcrow.7513:

If it is sellable it will be 1000 gold. You will have to do teq 100000 times to get a .001 chance of getting it. Save your gold!

Not to mention that to get the chance to get it, you have to actually kill tequatl… and from the looks of it, he’ll no longer be just a get in – get loot – get out loot piñata

RedSpectrum.1975:

Stormcrow.7513:

If it is sellable it will be 1000 gold. You will have to do teq 100000 times to get a .001 chance of getting it. Save your gold!

Gamblers Fallacy, you could do Tequatl 10000000000 times, doesnt mean your chance is getting any better, the drop rate is individual…..

yes and no, yeah your chances of getting it don’t increase, but it is very unlikely that you wouldn’t get it after a while.

IE: if you flip a coin your chance of not getting tails once in a row is 50%, twice in a row is 25%, three times in a row is 12.5%, ect. however your chance of getting either tails or heads individually is always 50%.

so yeah, his chances of getting it don’t improve, but it is statistically unlikely he won’t after that many tries.

So there is going to be a dragon mini? Where did you guys hear about this?

Hydra.9573:

So there is going to be a dragon mini? Where did you guys hear about this?

Was confirmed by the devs back when this was announced originally.

Celestina.2894:

Hydra.9573:

So there is going to be a dragon mini? Where did you guys hear about this?

Was confirmed by the devs back when this was announced originally.

Finally! The minis “world” looks to get going on the right way!!
This IS exactly the type of epic minis ppl want! Not fancy Queens or lots of “Bipedal humanoid” NPC’s!!

Fix mini-pets! Stop them De-spawning on Tele/Death/Sneeze. I’d also love them to be in a collection not my bags.

striker.3704:

RedSpectrum.1975:

Stormcrow.7513:

If it is sellable it will be 1000 gold. You will have to do teq 100000 times to get a .001 chance of getting it. Save your gold!

Gamblers Fallacy, you could do Tequatl 10000000000 times, doesnt mean your chance is getting any better, the drop rate is individual…..

yes and no, yeah your chances of getting it don’t increase, but it is very unlikely that you wouldn’t get it after a while.

IE: if you flip a coin your chance of not getting tails once in a row is 50%, twice in a row is 25%, three times in a row is 12.5%, ect. however your chance of getting either tails or heads individually is always 50%.

so yeah, his chances of getting it don’t improve, but it is statistically unlikely he won’t after that many tries.

… Google Gambler’s fallacy, you a few nice examples of how it works (the chance of you not getting x out of x or y doesnt double each time a luck-based choice is made).

Maybe we get it if we kill Tequatl in Tribulation mode

no no, you’re doing it wrong. you have to blow kisses to teq every 25% HP that is drained. he’ll then just get mad until he shrinks and appears in the chest.

I actually hope it will be a very rare drop and sellable, just for incentive for people to actually do Tequatl even if they already have ascended weapons.

I hope itll be a rare drop too.

Wonder how it will animate though, since Tequatl doesn’t move.

@Andele Both are true. From Wikipedia the chance of getting 21 heads in a row if you flip a coin is 1 in 2,097,152. The 21st try is still 1/2 chance, but technically speaking the odds are better if you keep going (over all tries. Each individual try is still the same as the first).

I hope it’s rare. We need items in game to be rare enough to entice people to do them.

Vol.5241:

I hope it’s rare. We need items in game to be rare enough to entice people to do them.

Depends. If it’s too rare, it will just make people not care enough to try.

Astralporing.1957:

Vol.5241:

I hope it’s rare. We need items in game to be rare enough to entice people to do them.

Depends. If it’s too rare, it will just make people not care enough to try.

If it’s rare enough to cost, say, 300g on the TP, then yeah people will do it.

Vol.5241:

Astralporing.1957:

Vol.5241:

I hope it’s rare. We need items in game to be rare enough to entice people to do them.

Depends. If it’s too rare, it will just make people not care enough to try.

If it’s rare enough to cost, say, 300g on the TP, then yeah people will do it.

In order to it being worth anything, the drop chance needs to be reasonable. I fully expect that even if it will be sellable on TP (which i doubt, seeing as Anet likes to slap account-bound on everything lately), farming the gold for it will be much easier.

Don’t tell people that Astral. Shhh :P

Andele.1306:

striker.3704:

RedSpectrum.1975:

Stormcrow.7513:

If it is sellable it will be 1000 gold. You will have to do teq 100000 times to get a .001 chance of getting it. Save your gold!

Gamblers Fallacy, you could do Tequatl 10000000000 times, doesnt mean your chance is getting any better, the drop rate is individual…..

yes and no, yeah your chances of getting it don’t increase, but it is very unlikely that you wouldn’t get it after a while.

IE: if you flip a coin your chance of not getting tails once in a row is 50%, twice in a row is 25%, three times in a row is 12.5%, ect. however your chance of getting either tails or heads individually is always 50%.

so yeah, his chances of getting it don’t improve, but it is statistically unlikely he won’t after that many tries.

… Google Gambler’s fallacy, you a few nice examples of how it works (the chance of you not getting x out of x or y doesnt double each time a luck-based choice is made).

Next time, before telling somebody to look for something on wikipedia check that what you’re saying is relevant. People nowadays are using Gambler’s fallacy in case where it is not relevant, like here.
What he said is perfectly correct, if you look at it beforehand my chances to get 3 heads in a row is exactly 1 out of 8 but if I’ve ALREADY got two heads then my chances to get a third is still 50% (assuming the coin isn’t fake).
That’s a common misconception about conditional probabilities.

that’s the mini i would ever want(a dragon one).

gonna work SOOOO hard for it.

Watch it be a gemstore item and then the people who bought gems through insert day to now get it for free. If not they’re totally going to add another mini dragon to the gemstore. I’m suprised nobodies seen this as a possibility. If anything there will be 2 types of mini dragons and the cooler one like the Shatterer or Zhaitan would be in the gemstore