Technical for drop the unbreakable choir Bell
- Guy gets lucky with RNG
- Guy thinks that because he got lucky, thats the official rate
- Guy proceeds to think he’s a genius
Post a thread when you’ve used a sample closer to around 300,000, like this guy:
http://www.reddit.com/r/Guildwars2/comments/15omze/update_i_have_now_opened_300000_giant_wintersday/
By that sample, it’s safe to assume 1 bell per 20,000 presents is at least pretty close to the rate, we’ll never know what it actually is though.
I have write " I think" and not " the technical to be sure to drop it :/
Sry I just write about my experience :’(
Ive opened over 30 thousand presents ranging from small to giant with no unbreakable bells or endless tonics.
I personally opened anything between 2 and 3 thousand myself and only got a skins and recipes.
Get it taken down -
Do whatever it takes if you care about this game -
Here’s the statistical answer: https://forum-en.gw2archive.eu/forum/game/wintersday/Unbreakable-Bells-found-about-1-20-000/1113255
I ran some statistics on [the results from opening 300,000 Wintersday Gifts posted in reddit]. Based on sample size (300,000) and observed Bell drops (15), we can be 95% confident that the overall drop rate lies between 0.0028% – 0.0082%.
(For the tonics, between 0.0014% – 0.0057%.)
I have opened about ~1500 gifs, no tonic, no bell, not even sigil or rune.