Butter on the rise?
“Whose Kitten is this?” – “It’s a Charr baby.”
“Whose Charr is this?”- “Ted’s.”
“Who’s Ted?”- “Ted’s dead, baby. Ted’s dead.”
“Whose Charr is this?”- “Ted’s.”
“Who’s Ted?”- “Ted’s dead, baby. Ted’s dead.”
I see. Well, maybe then I can sell my surplus that fills my bags from under lvl 50 adventures (got to really start cooking). Everyone else, buy butter 
“Whose Kitten is this?” – “It’s a Charr baby.”
“Whose Charr is this?”- “Ted’s.”
“Who’s Ted?”- “Ted’s dead, baby. Ted’s dead.”
“Whose Charr is this?”- “Ted’s.”
“Who’s Ted?”- “Ted’s dead, baby. Ted’s dead.”
For the explanation, someone hacked an account, stole its stuff, deleted it’s characters, and created a new one. He then bought a inv full+bank full of butter (like 100 stacks). So that’s why
Holy
Sharks With Lazers [PEW]
Sharks With Lazers [PEW]
“I reject your reality and substitute my own.”
“Whose Kitten is this?” – “It’s a Charr baby.”
“Whose Charr is this?”- “Ted’s.”
“Who’s Ted?”- “Ted’s dead, baby. Ted’s dead.”
“Whose Charr is this?”- “Ted’s.”
“Who’s Ted?”- “Ted’s dead, baby. Ted’s dead.”
Yay for butter. No seriously, where do you see a nerf?
Butter and chocolate no longer drop from loot bags of level 50 and above.
Butter and chocolate no longer drop from Supply Bags dropped by centaurs, Stolen Supplies dropped by ettins, Ritual Bags dropped by Flame Legion, or Materials Bags dropped by Inquest.From the halloween update patch notes.
So, 1 month after this patch there is still 1mil supplies of butter and 500k of chocolate, which suddenly became very attractive to the chefs around so they decide to buy them all at once 
If you look carefully at gw2spidy for the butter last month, you can see it is at equilibrium. The supply is constantly at around 1000k, which means the drop is equal to the consumption. Now few players with lot of bags space bought from the market ~800k sticks of butter (i calculated rough, it is for ~900-1000g).
There is nothing with former or future patch notes, just a simple speculation with popular product – there is no chef who can level up without butter and it is basic ingredient in many more high level recipes. I believe they will succeed with this bump, unless Anet make changes to its drop or crafting demands. There is no reason the newly dropped butter to be sell cheaper. Consumption will remain the same, the drop will remain the same, only the price will be several times higher.
(edited by SET.3275)
Butter
Chocolate
Cinnamon
Walnuts
Cinnamon+Sugar (because it’s likely no recipe would use cinnamon without sugar, so the mix would be used instead)
Mint Leaves (debatable, as it’s likely we’ll have Candy Cane nodes, so I figure you’d make candy canes using those, not mint leaves)Apparently a lot of people are going to be doing some baking this Wintersday. Maybe we’ll get the speedboost food that candy corn was promising to be, but failed at. All that sugar has to do something to us!
Now I come here as a total non-investor. Cinnamon, Walnuts and Butter are three ingredients that I have more then the regular stack of 250 off, just because they drop like candy.
But I’m not going to put it on the TP for 2c while there is a six digit number sitting there anyways. So I hang on to it or sometimes even vendor it, maybe one day I’ll bake some cookies.
My strategy is this…
If it’s sitting at minimum price (2-3 copper for most items), there is no real reason not to buy it. Even if 2 years down the road, the price never changes, you can get out and lose very little.
However, if it jumps you will make PURE profit. I bought 2000 chocolate a month or so ago speculating it would rise at Christmas. And I sold it all when it hit 1.2 silver a piece. 2 copper up to 1.2 silver a piece is a HUGE profit.
Because Cinnamon was on the lower side of things (compared to some of the other investment options), I bought 8000 cinnamon. Because again, worst comes to worst, I cash it all back in at 3 copper and lose almost no money.
So yeah, my advice for investors who are worried about risks…
Don’t take any. Buying at 2-3 copper isn’t a risk. One of two things will eventually happen. The price will rise (due to the release of a new recipe) or they will put that mystic forge recipe back into existance and clean out the TP again.
“I reject your reality and substitute my own.”