[KING] Fractals Droprate Research - 3k chests

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Posted by: Relativity.3264

Relativity.3264

Maxed HOM (Name: Random Firing)
Fractal 80 before Fractured, world first fractal 50 after

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Posted by: Impale.2503

Impale.2503

Praise the gods of the RNG Tonic.

Maybe one day we’ll be able to spend a stack of pristine relics or two for it.

:(

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Posted by: Malediktus.9250

Malediktus.9250

Also why is the chance for skins best at 30-39? Makes no sense.

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Posted by: Rage.9723

Rage.9723

Now you can see why I stopped doing fractals. The rewards for the lower level fractals actually give better rewards than the higher level ones. The armor box being higher is not sufficient as the armor box is rarely berserkers.

The fractal tonic drop rate is a joke as many have known. Why do the drop rates make no sense? Well one reason is Arena Net got rid of their dungeon team. Dungeons never fully recovered since that happened. People then make dungeon updates without knowing all of the intricacies. Throwing away good talent will only hurt them in the long run. Nice Hercules video by the way. I really appreciate your research.

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Posted by: Kupper.8074

Kupper.8074

But to counter lower drop rates at higher levels, you are compensated with more gold…am I right? /end sarcasm

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Posted by: Harper.4173

Harper.4173

And this is why we can’t have nice things ladies and gents.

Please consider reworking FOTM rewards Anet. This is just abysmal.

If here they fall they shall live on when ever you cry “For Ascalon!”

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Posted by: Dehuang.2053

Dehuang.2053

FotM is Anet’s PVE endgame, so they want to keep us busy for a long time so they made it impossible to get all the skins after the fractured release. This is just a slap in the face, i’m glad i stopped bothering with fractals a long time ago, the reward system is kittening.
Why can’t it have a dungeon vendor like all the other dungeons???

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Posted by: Sublimatio.6981

Sublimatio.6981

FotM is Anet’s PVE endgame, so they want to keep us busy for a long time so they made it impossible to get all the skins after the fractured release. This is just a slap in the face, i’m glad i stopped bothering with fractals a long time ago, the reward system is kittening.
Why can’t it have a dungeon vendor like all the other dungeons???

I agree, when GW2 was released we were told every dungeon will have dungeon vendor with the dungeon-unique skins. They said nobody will have to grind and pray for a chance to get what he wants. I am deeply disappointed by their lack of integrity.
I no longer play fractals on the daily basis.

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Posted by: Opt.3714

Opt.3714

Reading this spreadsheet puts my rewards from 18 months of dedicated fractals play in context—I’ve gotten a few fractal weapon drops, but not a single one of the skins I actually want. It’s nice to see some hard data that shows I am not alone—makes me feel good about deciding to take an indefinite hiatus from fractals.

I play content because I think it’s fun, but rewards help me stick with content after the novelty has worn off. However, I could grind fractals for certain skins for years and never get any of them. That’s not a fun reward system, it’s simply disrespectful to the player’s time. To maintain a healthy attitude when playing the game, I would never play Fractals expecting to get one of these skins again (even though I really like them.)

When I also consider that the ascended box drop rates have been buffed more than once, it makes me shudder to imagine what the original drop rates were.

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(edited by Opt.3714)

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Posted by: Sarahfull.4930

Sarahfull.4930

Even anet doesnt know if fractals is a " dungeon " or not.

There is no vender, it doesnt count towards dungeon achi/dailies/mothlies and yet, when someone else ( non-anet) says that since release their has been lots of dungeon paths added and list fractals as a example; anet agrees with them.

Fractals are a " dungeon " when anet feels like it :/

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Posted by: Impale.2503

Impale.2503

A fix for these terrible drop rates would be the use of the Pristine Relics which are currently useless.

Tonic for 250, weapon skin for 50, would make everyone happy and reward the grind with content specific skins/costmetics. Just food for thoughts Mr. Devs. #Hype

You could even allow a 100-250 pristine relic upgrade to your backpiece to change the color so you don’t have to make a new model. #Value

PS: A fix for the late lag spikes in fractals would be much appreciated, its getting really annoying.

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Posted by: beastie.4536

beastie.4536

My personal record is quite similar to KING’s. The skin drop rate is horrible I haven’t seen a skin drop for almost 2 months and we lost quite a lot of fractal players in the past few months. 40+ in LFG is empty most of the time…

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Posted by: Rising Dusk.2408

Rising Dusk.2408

Looking at this, I’m more likely to do 31-40 than 50 anymore. So much for the value of 85AR!

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Posted by: Charming Rogue.8071

Charming Rogue.8071

Droprates are a joke, and the fractal tonic is a lie. Anyone that has one in-game used a hex editor to get one.

Also, I think I speak for everyone when I say that we want to exchange our useless 5 silver rings for something useful… 10 rings = 1 ascended chest of choice? At this point I would even be happy if I could just salvage it for 1-3 ecto and 1 mithril ore.

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Posted by: Estriella Faerie.4029

Estriella Faerie.4029

Getting a fractal tonic is the same as winning the lottery.

From all the recorded runs we have here, we’re at around 3000 chests on level 41-50, and still no tonic. For a single player who’d want to get the tonic, that means 8 years and 3 months of doing the daily every single day, and still not getting it.

Seeing someone with the fractal tonic or multiple fractal skins should be an indication of the player dedication to fractals. At the moment it’s not. When I see someone with those, I only think: “This guy won the lottery”.

As for the skins, the droprates on them was much higher before (around 25-30% per daily, with multiples dailies a day possible with alts). Even like this, there’s not that many people who managed to get all the skins. With the way the droprates were lowered, getting them all is now out of the question for all new players. The “Fractal Master” collection achievement is also completely buggy. A friend of mine got it (it’s in the Flame and Frost section…), but other players with all the weapons didn’t get it…

All this gives us the sensation that fractals, and fractal rewards is clearly not a priority for Anet… Please prove us wrong !

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Posted by: Artemis Thuras.8795

Artemis Thuras.8795

x pristine relics for asc weapon/armor chest?
on top of the abysmal rng for one of course.

~25-50 seems reasonable fair to me.

Edit: allow us to trade in rings/asc chests we dont want for 1/5 pristine relics also?

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Posted by: One Note Chord.5031

One Note Chord.5031

That’s a little tricky, because you don’t want to let people just grind low level fractals and get ascended stuff (or, worse, fractal skins). But there was lots of discussion about this problem and possible solutions during the fractal CDI. So it’s clear that fixing fractal rewards is a very low priority for them.

Colin Johanson: "Everyone, including casual gamers, by level 80 should have the
best statistical loot in the game. We want everyone on an equal power base.”
Pre-launch, Colin listed things that make MMOs bad. They are all now in GW2.

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Posted by: Solo.9027

Solo.9027

The past few months all I do in this game is 1-2 fractal runs a day if I log in at all, and of those I usually try to jump into runs midway off of lfg to save effort. This past week I’ve gotten a raiders box(29), a sigil recipe(28), and a fractal axe(40) in consecutive days. A couple weeks ago I got a fractal longbow(28) and so far I’ve gotten 5 ascended armor boxes(3 healers, 2 raiders), all from 20s or 30s. I’m like level 42 or so and I wanted to get to 50 but the rng doesn’t really motivate me much to make the effort since lower levels give equal or better loot.

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Posted by: Vlad.1739

Vlad.1739

based on your data Fractal Tonic so hard to get that GW2 would be a dead game before required number of average runs is reached to obtain one for unlucky people. For example if a person required to average 1.5k runs to obtain tonic. It would take about 4 years for a unlucky person. Crazy stuff, I want the tonic that’s why I only run 50 but I never get my hopes up.

(edited by Vlad.1739)

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Posted by: Bri.8354

Bri.8354

They really need to improve these rewards.

Monetary rewards are very low, ascended chests mostly give you an inefficient stat you have no use for, you can’t do anything with your spare ascended rings/armor/weapons, tonic drop rate is so low its like winning the lottery, and once you get the fractal skins/tonic there’s no point of running it anymore because the non-exclusive rewards suck.

(edited by Bri.8354)

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Posted by: Malediktus.9250

Malediktus.9250

They really need to improve these rewards.

Monetary rewards are very low, ascended chests mostly give you an inefficient stat you have no use for, you can’t do anything with your spare ascended rings/armor/weapons, tonic drop rate is so low its like winning the lottery, and once you get the fractal skins/tonic there’s no point of running it anymore because the non-exclusive rewards suck.

Thats why they a made the exclusive rewards extremly low chance, so you never stop having a reason to run them again :p

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Posted by: Bri.8354

Bri.8354

They really need to improve these rewards.

Monetary rewards are very low, ascended chests mostly give you an inefficient stat you have no use for, you can’t do anything with your spare ascended rings/armor/weapons, tonic drop rate is so low its like winning the lottery, and once you get the fractal skins/tonic there’s no point of running it anymore because the non-exclusive rewards suck.

Thats why they a made the exclusive rewards extremly low chance, so you never stop having a reason to run them again :p

Unless you won the lottery as I have, getting the tonic while working towards level 50.

Without those exclusive rewards the place loses its appeal, fast. The only thing you can do with all those ascended rings and boot boxes is vendor them. Overall monetary rewards is less than that of normal dungeons.

If we could salvage ascended items it would be a nice step towards improving rewards, and the end reward needs to be increased, either by adding more drops to the completion chest or by increasing the gold amount.

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Posted by: Biohazard.7523

Biohazard.7523

Thanks for the info. I wanted to farm fractals when I saw those cool rewards, but now that I have seen the drop rate, I will inform my friends not to farm them because its a waste of time how long you have to farm to get something.. Me and my friends are not robot-grinders, so yea…

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Posted by: Opt.3714

Opt.3714

  • Fixed a bug that caused the drop rate of fractal weapon skins to decrease above fractal level 40.

I would say there’s a good chance this research made the devs aware of a bug in the drop rate. Thank you KING, ZoS, et al. for raising awareness, and thanks devs for the fix!

The fix is real. Across two level 49 runs in the last week, my guild has gotten 4 fractal weapon drops. I finally got my fractal shield!

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Posted by: Surbrus.6942

Surbrus.6942

Looks like the Fractal Tonic has the same drop rate as that coveted Fractal Weapon Box.

It was a bit depressing while contributing to the LOD stats, as with many things about Anet and Fractals, their “buffs to drop rates” became apparent to be outright lies. But being a Fractal player, knowing that Anet simply lies about almost every change in Fractals was just just understood to be a fact.

I don’t see why Anet would act like Fractal players are so stupid, since we’re the more likely section of players who are to record stats to verify what they are saying to us about drop rates. It just makes Anet look like amateurs.

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Posted by: Enko.6123

Enko.6123

Looks like the Fractal Tonic has the same drop rate as that coveted Fractal Weapon Box.

It was a bit depressing while contributing to the LOD stats, as with many things about Anet and Fractals, their “buffs to drop rates” became apparent to be outright lies. But being a Fractal player, knowing that Anet simply lies about almost every change in Fractals was just just understood to be a fact.

I don’t see why Anet would act like Fractal players are so stupid, since we’re the more likely section of players who are to record stats to verify what they are saying to us about drop rates. It just makes Anet look like amateurs.

BTW, LOD’s sheet was reset due to the change in drop rates so we can see the differences as well. Definite difference in 50s so far. We reset the entire thing so we can see if any stealth changes were made to the other tiers.

Would love to see KING’s raw data for their 3k+ chests.

(edited by Enko.6123)

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Posted by: Nevets Crimsonwing.5271

Nevets Crimsonwing.5271

Looks like the Fractal Tonic has the same drop rate as that coveted Fractal Weapon Box.

It was a bit depressing while contributing to the LOD stats, as with many things about Anet and Fractals, their “buffs to drop rates” became apparent to be outright lies. But being a Fractal player, knowing that Anet simply lies about almost every change in Fractals was just just understood to be a fact.

I don’t see why Anet would act like Fractal players are so stupid, since we’re the more likely section of players who are to record stats to verify what they are saying to us about drop rates. It just makes Anet look like amateurs.

BTW, LOD’s sheet was reset due to the change in drop rates so we can see the differences as well. Definite difference in 50s so far. We reset the entire thing so we can see if any stealth changes were made to the other tiers.

Would love to see KING’s raw data for their 3k+ chests.

If you click on their sheet, you can still see their data for 3k+ chests on the second tab.

If I’m reading the data correctly, it seems the skin rate was upped from 3% to about 7.1% on level 50 with over 100 runs post patch. This is still lower than the level 40 tier which is about 9.4%. Can anyone confirm I’m reading this correctly?

(edited by Nevets Crimsonwing.5271)

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Posted by: Enko.6123

Enko.6123

Looks like the Fractal Tonic has the same drop rate as that coveted Fractal Weapon Box.

It was a bit depressing while contributing to the LOD stats, as with many things about Anet and Fractals, their “buffs to drop rates” became apparent to be outright lies. But being a Fractal player, knowing that Anet simply lies about almost every change in Fractals was just just understood to be a fact.

I don’t see why Anet would act like Fractal players are so stupid, since we’re the more likely section of players who are to record stats to verify what they are saying to us about drop rates. It just makes Anet look like amateurs.

BTW, LOD’s sheet was reset due to the change in drop rates so we can see the differences as well. Definite difference in 50s so far. We reset the entire thing so we can see if any stealth changes were made to the other tiers.

Would love to see KING’s raw data for their 3k+ chests.

If you click on their sheet, you can still see their data for 3k+ chests on the second tab.

If I’m reading the data correctly, it seems the skin rate was upped from 3% to about 7.1% on level 50 with over 100 runs post patch. This is still lower than the level 40 tier which is about 9.4%. Can anyone confirm I’m reading this correctly?

That’s not the raw data I’d like to see. I’m talking about the individual inputs.

The number is currently lower than lvl 40 tier because they only reset 41-50 instead of the entire thing. If you look at total number of chests under 50, its at 127 (at the time of this post).

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Posted by: Snowball.3497

Snowball.3497

That’s not the raw data I’d like to see. I’m talking about the individual inputs.

The number is currently lower than lvl 40 tier because they only reset 41-50 instead of the entire thing. If you look at total number of chests under 50, its at 127 (at the time of this post).

We chose to only reset the tier that ANet said they changed.
We still got our old sheet and can compare the droprates from the lvl 40/30/20 tier of the new spreadsheet with the old one to see if numbers diverge.

This gives us as accurate data as resetting the sheet completely.
If we after ~200 lvl 40 runs see a trend of diverging droprates compared to the old one, will we reset that tier completely with the input history we have.

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Posted by: Enko.6123

Enko.6123

That’s not the raw data I’d like to see. I’m talking about the individual inputs.

The number is currently lower than lvl 40 tier because they only reset 41-50 instead of the entire thing. If you look at total number of chests under 50, its at 127 (at the time of this post).

We chose to only reset the tier that ANet said they changed.
We still got our old sheet and can compare the droprates from the lvl 40/30/20 tier of the new spreadsheet with the old one to see if numbers diverge.

This gives us as accurate data as resetting the sheet completely.
If we after ~200 lvl 40 runs see a trend of diverging droprates compared to the old one, will we reset that tier completely with the input history we have.

Oh I understand why only the stated tier was reset. I would still like to see the raw data if it would be possible.

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Posted by: Sublimatio.6981

Sublimatio.6981

Ladies and Gentlemen, I just dropped fractal sword in lvl 37.

edit: day later, second fractal sword from lvl 50. did the game break or sth?

(edited by Sublimatio.6981)

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Posted by: Malediktus.9250

Malediktus.9250

I just did fractals 49 with a pug and someone got a tonic.

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Posted by: Nevets Crimsonwing.5271

Nevets Crimsonwing.5271

I just did fractals 49 with a pug and someone got a tonic.

Pics or it didn’t happen.

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Posted by: Malediktus.9250

Malediktus.9250

I just did fractals 49 with a pug and someone got a tonic.

Pics or it didn’t happen.

Why should I care if you believe it.
Its just very rare and drops. Chance to win lottery is 1:136m in Germany but there are still people who do win.

It was the first tonic I saw drop in many 100s of fractal runs, but tbh I would delete it if I would find one. Tonics are a waste of bank space.

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(edited by Malediktus.9250)

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Posted by: Painbow.6059

Painbow.6059

Collecting achievement points are also a waste of time because the rewards are bad

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Posted by: RagNoRawk.3625

RagNoRawk.3625

Things like this are really discouraging. I personally really enjoy grabbing a few guildies and chugging through fractals even though the rewards are disparaging. However, as time goes on, even for someone like myself who enjoys the content, it begins to grow stale and getting little in return makes it that much less appealing.

Along with many others, I have a large issue with the lack of usefulness of the ascended trinkets with stats you have no use for and will never have use for. Especially when there are so many easy and valid options (i.e. mystic forge dump, turn in to a vendor for something at least remotely useful but better than a measly 4 silvers, any of the other countless suggestions floating around the forums…) It is especially discouraging when there exists a vast number of potential solutions that all seem very reasonable.

I really wish fractals would be revisited because I really do enjoy them…its just over time with a string of bad luck even enjoyable content feels stale and unrewarding.

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Posted by: Iris Ng.9845

Iris Ng.9845

After a gruesome fotm 50, I’ve got a fractal skin and I’m happy

  • It has been nothing since the last 30-ish number of fractals I’ve done.
  • It’s a fractal skin
  • It’s a unique never-obtained-before skin
  • It’s the axe skin that I truly want for a long time

Then I feel sad thinking of Pavlov’s Dogs.

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Posted by: Kupper.8074

Kupper.8074

As I was celebrating my gold and empyreal fragments, I looked back at my screen and wept.

And let me guess…. you carried that person the whole time?

JQ – The ‘veggie’ Knight
Berserker = Skilled http://i.imgur.com/g1rkIub.jpg
Never forget – http://i.imgur.com/Oxra9sj.jpg