Here’s how it is
After every patch, EVERY patch, even maintenance updates there is invariably a single thread about how they nerfed the RNG mechanic of X or Y. This is false. It is a result of a large sample size, in which people are independent of each other. You don’t see everyone’s drops, only your own. Let’s say the chance of not getting a rare out of fractal chest is 25%. Someone on the forums will complain that they ran 7 fractals and not a single rare. Well the probability of this is:
(1/4)^7=(1/16,384)
So for every 16 thousand people that run fractals, one of them should get no rares after 7 chests, assuming they’re all approximately equal. Now we know over 2 million people bought the game, let’s say, 25% are still active (intentionally low so I have less people can poke holes in) and that of that 500 thousand, 10% run fractals all the time. That’s more than 16 thousand, someone gets unlucky.
To conclude, (TL;DR) people get unlucky, and blame authority figures. I am not saying that we should not continue these RNG NERF!!1!!1!!!!!11! posts, just that they need to be toned down. Your bad luck is not universal, but if several others complain, there may be a legit problem. And anecdotal, “my drops used to be better” evidence does not count as supportive data.
