Guild Wars 2

So I was looking at the gw2 wiki at the yields that recipes give in the mystic forge. The dust recipe in particular for t6 claims that it yields from 6 to 40 crystalline dust.

What I would like to know is, are these outcomes weighted? Is there an EQUAL chance to land a 40 roll as there is to land a 6 roll?

..and if it is weighted, how are the weights distributed? Anyone know?

You get on average roughly 1/3rd of the lower tier mat. So 50 in yields 16-17 out while 250 is 83-84. ON AVERAGE

I can’t say that enough. ON AVERAGE

The range for 250 in is 40 to 200. There’s been times I’ve gotten over 650 back from 5 stacks of 250, other times I got less than 300. But ON AVERAGE I get in the low 400s or roughly 1/3rd.

If you look up the target mat on the wiki I think the MF recipe listed there will give the proper range rather than the minimum.

I have data an 175, 250 in promotions. One moment …

40-49: 25
50-59: 20
60-69: 32
70-79: 27
80-89: 10
90-99: 8
100-109: 4
110-119: 10
120-129: 15
130-139: 7
140-149: 1
150-159: 4
160-169: 1
170-179: 4
180-189: 2
190-200: 5

Median: 73
1st 20%: 40-53
2nd 20%: 54-66
3rd 20%: 67-80
4th 20%: 80-121
5th 20%: 121-199

Mean: 86.75
1 sigma range: 51-127
2 sigma range: 42-190

There’s the stats of my 175 MF promotions of 250 item stacks going into the MF. It doesn’t look like an X similar dice or a single RNG check.

Behellagh.1468:

You get on average roughly 1/3rd of the lower tier mat. So 50 in yields 16-17 out while 250 is 83-84. ON AVERAGE

I can’t say that enough. ON AVERAGE

The range for 250 in is 40 to 200. There’s been times I’ve gotten over 650 back from 5 stacks of 250, other times I got less than 300. But ON AVERAGE I get in the low 400s or roughly 1/3rd.

If you look up the target mat on the wiki I think the MF recipe listed there will give the proper range rather than the minimum.

I have data an 175, 250 in promotions. One moment …

40-49: 25
50-59: 20
60-69: 32
70-79: 27
80-89: 10
90-99: 8
100-109: 4
110-119: 10
120-129: 15
130-139: 7
140-149: 1
150-159: 4
160-169: 1
170-179: 4
180-189: 2
190-200: 5

Median: 73
1st 20%: 40-53
2nd 20%: 54-66
3rd 20%: 67-80
4th 20%: 80-121
5th 20%: 121-199

Mean: 86.75
1 sigma range: 51-127
2 sigma range: 42-190

There’s the stats of my 175 MF promotions of 250 item stacks going into the MF. It doesn’t look like an X similar dice or a single RNG check.

That makes sense, thanks for the clarification!

No problem, I’ve been meaning to do some analysis on the data.