Guild Wars 2

anyone knows tell me how I can have a much better chance of winning? …
I bought 25 Foil-Wrapped Candy No, but I understand if I have to keep them until the end of the event or if I have to eat them. I thank you in advance for your help.

They only count if you give the wrappers to the Skritt in the old Black Lion HQ in Lion’s Arc before the event is over.

You have to eat them. Anytime you eat one of them you get a random boost for 10 min and one Shiny Foil Candy Wrapper, then you can go to Collector Terksli on Lion’s Arch (where the trading post used to be) and give them to him. You get one chance to win one of the weapon skins for each wrapper you give him.

You can also get the wrappers sometimes from the trick or treat bags.

Oh boy. I only found 5 so far. I guess my chances are pretty slim against people who actually spend money on those.

Well, good luck!

Thanks guys !!! … but I did not understand, if one has the ability to spend money to buy sweets, and thus have a higher number than mine, will decrease my chances of winning? or is still random?

Nerone.1724:

Thanks guys !!! … but I did not understand, if one has the ability to spend money to buy sweets, and thus have a higher number than mine, will decrease my chances of winning? or is still random?

Yes and yes. One wrapper is selected at random for each skin out of all the wrappers handed in, whoever handed that particular wrapper, gets the skin. So, it is random, but whoever submits a higher number of wrappers has a higher chance to win something, and the more wrappers are submitted, the chance to win for each wrapper is lower.

Doing the math, let’s say that 1000000 wrappers are handed in at the end of the 2 weeks period (chances are they’ll be much higher) and you handed in 100 of them. There are 1000 total possible prizes (100 each of the greatsaw and ghastly shield, 200 each of the rifle, dagger, chainsword and scythe skins), your chances are 1 in 10 to win one of the prizes (I used this website because I was too lazy to calculate it myself: http://contests.about.com/library/blsweepstakesoddscalculator.htm ). Someone that submitted 500 wrappers would hace 1 in 2 chances to win something, and so on. Using the same numbers but changing them to 2000000 wrappers submitted in total lowers the chances to 1:20 for you and 1:2 for the other (using the same numbers).

But of course, all is at the mercy of the RNG gods, you could have someone that submitted just 5 wrappers walk away with 5 grinning shield skins (one of the most wanted) and someone that submitted 4000 of them not winning anything.

I’m going to assume each wrapper can only win once. That is important for the number crunchers. As is the great unknown, how many total entries will there be?

I’m going to throw out an estimate of 150 million entries. In addition to those spending a little holiday change on gems for whatever reason, The minis, accessories and to a degree the batwing brew is there to assure no ToT bag goes unopened for long, and the maize tonic is there to give people a sense that the bags will always be around so no need to hoard them. And having a year-round token vendor who is a trusted NPC is even more comforting.

Well played devs. Seriously I mean that. I hope this is a sign of solid direction in drop planning moving forward rather than all the dingleberries taking up my vault space.

I’ve turned in about 10 or so wrappers that I’ve gotten from ToT bags so far. My odds of winning anything are probably exceedingly slim, but hey, so’s the chances of me just getting a Precursor off some random mob in the open world. So, if I don’t win anything, no skin off my nose.

It’s a raffle.

The winning tickets are chosen at random, but the more tickets you put in the more chances you have of winning.

Someone’s already claiming to have submitted 7500 of the things.

May as well forget it.

Sariel V.7024:

Someone’s already claiming to have submitted 7500 of the things.

May as well forget it.

That means nothing, really. You only need one ticket to win. That person’s odds may be marginally higher than the person who puts in 1, but in reality, you could put in 50,000, and out of say, 1.5 million, you could easily still get nothing. Everyone who puts in even one wrapper has a chance.

Yoroiookami.3485:

Oh boy. I only found 5 so far. I guess my chances are pretty slim against people who actually spend money on those.

Well, good luck!

On the flip side, the people who actually spend money on them keep the lights on so that the rest of us can play for free. Not a bad trade off, in my book.

You can get them from opening the Trick or Treat bags, though the rate is pretty low (about 1 in 100 bags).

I think I’ve gotten like 50 wrappers from the tot bags I opened over the weekend. I was getting them pretty regularly out of the bags I was opening. Might be an ok way to stay in the running (unless someone’s spending unholy amounts on the gem store). But even then, it really only takes one ticket, and lots of luck.

mtpelion.4562:

Yoroiookami.3485:

Oh boy. I only found 5 so far. I guess my chances are pretty slim against people who actually spend money on those.

Well, good luck!

On the flip side, the people who actually spend money on them keep the lights on so that the rest of us can play for free. Not a bad trade off, in my book.

You can get them from opening the Trick or Treat bags, though the rate is pretty low (about 1 in 100 bags).

I managed to get over 30 so far, it’s going well. =)

i found 3, i don’t think i’m going to win anything at all lol

Shpongle.6025:

i found 3, i don’t think i’m going to win anything at all lol

That’s ok, don’t feel bad if you don’t win. Remember that millions of other players will also not win. You are not alone. This game is all about rewarding a few lucky people.

That’s what raffles are all about, in the end: to see who is the one blessed by the gods with good fortune.

Unless I misread. Some guy said he got 13+ THOUSAND of these things from 1.2million bags. When I saw that I sure wasn’t paying 500 gems for a mere…25!!

(I could be wrong however).

hopefully scherzasse.ma anyone know if the awards are for tt servers, or if they are broken down by each one?

yorick.1305:

Unless I misread. Some guy said he got 13+ THOUSAND of these things from 1.2million bags. When I saw that I sure wasn’t paying 500 gems for a mere…25!!

(I could be wrong however).

That’s where a wonder called RNG kicks in, where it completely disgregards these entries and picks someone who has 5 foil wrappers. =)

Nerone.1724:

hopefully scherzasse.ma anyone know if the awards are for tt servers, or if they are broken down by each one?

Prizes are EU+NA wide, no server breakdowns.

mtpelion.4562:

You can get them from opening the Trick or Treat bags, though the rate is pretty low (about 1 in 100 bags).

it’s about 1 in 47.

I’ve heard of some people who’ve opened over a million bags. that would be about 21,276 wrappers.
(http://www.reddit.com/r/Guildwars2/comments/2kv9t2/mystic_forge_recipe_involving_mini_gwynefyrdd/)

I have about 700 so far. no plans to get any more – I’m a little broke until the halloween stuff goes up in post-holiday inflation

One thing that comes to mind for me: this skritt has an astounding memory.

On topic, though, I’ve handed him about 50 wrappers now, all from trick-or-treat bags. Chances are, if you converted those gems to gold and bought ToT bags from the TP, you would have gotten more wrappers.

This whole raffle makes me think of Charlie and the chocolate factory.

Drarnor Kunoram.5180:

One thing that comes to mind for me: this skritt has an astounding memory.

On topic, though, I’ve handed him about 50 wrappers now, all from trick-or-treat bags. Chances are, if you converted those gems to gold and bought ToT bags from the TP, you would have gotten more wrappers.

I found around 50 as well. I have a feeling like there’s some sort of limit to the amount of candy wrappers you can get. Like in the first 20 or so minutes I found 7 wrappers, and then for another 40 minutes there didn’t seem to be any. =)
Or perhaps it’s just really…random.

After casually farming the Labyrinth for 30 mins – 1 hour a day, I think I’ve turned in maybe about 25 – 30 foil wrappers. As I said before, if I get something valuable, great! If not, meh, it’s RNG.