Guild Wars 2

Has there been any recent posts about the MF and DR? I have been doing a ton the last few weeks and making money doing it but more and more I am finding myself agreeing with the conspiracy theorists that there is in fact DR on the forge.

All of the posts here and on Reddit that I have read are years old.

It is rare a day when I don’t laugh when the words “conspiracy theorists” and “fact” are used to back one’s claims.

Bamm.6975:

Has there been any recent posts about the MF and DR? I have been doing a ton the last few weeks and making money doing it but more and more I am finding myself agreeing with the conspiracy theorists that there is in fact DR on the forge.

All of the posts here and on Reddit that I have read are years old.

No conspiracy. Just RNG at it’s finest.

I think we need a Forum Expert whose specialty is clearly explaining statistics and probability.

‘0123456789’ is not random (there’s roughly a 1,000 in 10,000,000,000 chance to produce a string that is close to as clean as this)
‘9999091250’ is much more similar to what a ‘random’ number would look like (roughly a 5,000,000,000 in 10,000,000,000 chance to produce something you would identify as most similar to this)
the other 5 billion are somewhere in between.
I assume OP is trolling, but I had too much fun doing the math

What you define as a pattern is arbitrary. The numbers don’t care. In the grand scheme, 0123456789 is as random as 9999091250

Sariel V.7024:

What you define as a pattern is arbitrary. The numbers don’t care. In the grand scheme, 0123456789 is as random as 9999091250

but 8888182341 is humanly-similar to 9999091250, among millions of other combinations. 0123456789 is only similar to about 1000 or so.
humans have a hard time distinguishing between ‘random’ and ‘evenly distributed’. because they see an evenly distributed string and instantly identify it as that category, then see a non-evenly distributed string and categorize it as that, and there are millions of times more non-evenly distributed strings than evenly-distributed ones.