Guild Wars 2

some of you may already know that there is a diminishing returns on the mystic forge and i was wondering, how long is it?

i really don’t want to do guess work as i’ve already lost about 15 philosopher stones at guessing!

First of all: No, there isn’t.
Secondly: What are you attempting to make that you think there is DR? Earlier today I did 15 fine crafting conversions (t5→6) and the yields increased over time, starting with the first few at 5 and ending with an 8, 9, and finally 11.

gossamer scraps, going from a max of 35 and gradually dropping to 15 within about 4-6 forges

don’t tell me it’s a coincidence that it just gradually dropped to the least amount and even when using the forge again 2 more times i yielded 15

Yes, actually, it is a coincidence.

4-6 is not a lot. I had a general increase over 15 runs, but even 15 is not statistically significant.

I’ve yet to get over 18 orichalcum when I convert mithril. The fact that you got 35 on an equivalent conversion is mind-bogglingly lucky to me. Your first conversion was a statistical outlier and this provided a false expectation.

The better your first result, the more likely the second will be worse. When these two happen, your brain sets up an expectation of the trend of diminishing results. Because you never get that lucky again, the pattern appears to hold. But what really happened is you initially had good luck and used that to establish unreasonable expectations.

It has been stated very clearly by people in the know that diminishing returns does not affect the mystic forge at all.

i call bullkitten that you think you got an increase, every attempt you make gets worse yields until you hit the bare minimum

and i’m not sure how you figured out that t4->t5 is equivalent to t5->t6 though but forging t6 mats get you lower return than others

Orichalcum is t6.
Gossamer is t6.

where is the disparity?

I call bullkitten that you think you got a decrease, every attempt you make gets better yield until you hit the bare maximum.

You see what I did there?

I never said every yield was better than the previous, I just said the end of my set was better than the start.

You got unlucky. It is not a conspiracy.