Guild Wars 2

Hi all,

I thought it would be a good time to backup the bad matchmaking and extreme loosing streaks with some proper stats. People love metrics / stats.

Well here first of all are the stats:

Player TPMN.1483 [A New Home]

Back to the list Check Pre 16 Dec player score
General Solo queue statistics

Wins 195
Loses 241
Win percent 44.72%. (Mostly as thief which we know is a broken PvP class when there are multiple in a match)
Highest rank 94
Time highest rank 2015-01-09 18:00:03
In top 1000 since 2014-12-16 22:00:03
Time since last update 00:09:52
Time since last match 00:09:52
Current rank 102
Characters Jess Kaboom, Aurora Nightscape, A New Home <Main – Thief -95% of matches played), Chandra Leela,

From
Dec 15, 2014
To
Jan 11, 2015

History – raw data
Date Wins Loses Win percent Rank at the end of the day Points at the end of the day
2015-01-11 0 1 0% 102 177
2015-01-10 3 12 20% 99 177 ^^
2015-01-09 14 11 56% 97 176
2015-01-08 14 20 41% 110 162 ^^
2015-01-07 18 18 50% 119 151 $$
2015-01-06 2 8 20% 147 135 ^^
2015-01-05 19 21 48% 132 136 $$
2015-01-04 5 9 36% 165 118 ^^
2015-01-03 3 1 75% 155 117
2015-01-02 23 14 62% 143 113 $$
2015-01-01 17 21 45% 207 90 $$
2014-12-31 6 16 27% 258 75 ^^
2014-12-30 3 1 75% 212 78
2014-12-29 11 16 41% 196 76 $$
2014-12-28 12 12 50% 219 66 $$
2014-12-27 10 16 38% 377 45 ^^
2014-12-26 5 3 63% 508 34
2014-12-25 7 4 64% 568 29
2014-12-24 20 33 38% 828 21 ^^
2014-12-18 0 0 0% 981 4
2014-12-17 2 4 33% 865 4
2014-12-16 0 0 0% 401 1

The stats show big loosing streak days – no-matter what I do what effort that I put in – it’s a complete waste of time.

On these days marked ^^ – the match ups are extremely bad.
Days marked $$ – I achieved a reasonable win rate / loss rate.

Conversely the days marked $$ were also “fun” and played many matches.
Days marked ^^ made me want to do something else.
Days afters higher a short match bout with a high win ratio typically result in a high loss ratio the next day.

I have no reason to explain why I can go from average 45% win ratio to under 20% on some days.

Can you use this data to look into why the loosing streaks are so long ?
As this data is mostly on a thief profession is there any way to balance it so matches take account of how many of a typical profession are in a team (eg 2-3 thief make +2 mesmer up vs full heavy team) and incorporate this into the team matching algorithm ?
- it’s often obvious that a team with 2 or 3 theifs vs a similar makeup but with Necros on the opposite side will always win 9 times out of ten.

If anyone has any ideas how to improve the match making or break a loosing streak please let me know !
(Most of this is played with the same build each day on thief – cause I wanted to ensure stats gathered would be as easy as possible to analyse).

I’m no way a “pro” PVP person but know enough to be a little dangerous on maps.

Many thanks,