I used to run the Academy Gaming tournaments for GW2.
Determining our odds of winning?
I used to run the Academy Gaming tournaments for GW2.
Yes. That’s the key to everything.
It’s called the Expected Winner calculation. It is determined by the average MMR of each team.
Now, if it is WRONG (because the MMRs are not an accurate measure of skill for the match in question) then the points will be awarded unfairly as well.
Silentshoes (Thief), Wind of the Woods (condi ranger)
(edited by Silentshoes.1805)
I think you misunderstood. Let me rephrase.
How can I see/determine what my odds are of winning against my opponent?
I used to run the Academy Gaming tournaments for GW2.
Sorry. Didn’t read closely enough.
No way to see it now. But I wish they would add it.
Silentshoes (Thief), Wind of the Woods (condi ranger)
It’s called the Expected Winner calculation. It is determined by the average MMR of each team.
Not just MMR, we also include the maximum roster size on each side.
http://wiki.guildwars2.com/wiki/PvP_Matchmaking_Algorithm#Match_Prediction
Isle of Janthir: Flux, Latch, Aegir
I think you misunderstood. Let me rephrase.
How can I see/determine what my odds are of winning against my opponent?
at the moment i think we can’t since the system does not show us the odds.
It’s called the Expected Winner calculation. It is determined by the average MMR of each team.
Not just MMR, we also include the maximum roster size on each side.
http://wiki.guildwars2.com/wiki/PvP_Matchmaking_Algorithm#Match_Prediction
Meaning 4×5 taken into account?
Silentshoes (Thief), Wind of the Woods (condi ranger)
Meaning 4×5 taken into account?
No, but things like 5 vs 1+1+1+1+1
Isle of Janthir: Flux, Latch, Aegir
Meaning 4×5 taken into account?
No, but things like 5 vs 1+1+1+1+1
That’s good to know. 1+1+1+1+1 should get a deep adjustment based on experiences in this test period.
Can you adjust the weighting and then run through ALL the games since the patch in a simulation, until the Expected Winner starts hitting at 100%?
Silentshoes (Thief), Wind of the Woods (condi ranger)
(edited by Silentshoes.1805)
That is good to know. I was playing my Mesmer a few hours ago(which I don’t play competitively very often)and was queued against at least 3 of “The Abjured”. We were all solo queued. They weren’t. The struggz was real.
Meaning 4×5 taken into account?
No, but things like 5 vs 1+1+1+1+1
That’s good to know. 1+1+1+1+1 should get a deep adjustment based on experiences in this test period.
Can you adjust the weighting and then run through ALL the games since the patch in a simulation, until the Expected Winner starts hitting at 100%?
Yes, though it will never hit 100%. Sometimes matches are just too close to tell.
Isle of Janthir: Flux, Latch, Aegir