Is my Solo arena rating bugged?

Is my Solo arena rating bugged?

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Posted by: Blackwyn.8127

Blackwyn.8127

First some backstory for a little context.
Before the reset, I was at ~100 Rank, sometimes a bit higher sometimes a bit lower. But I could easily maintain the rank. When the reset was announced, I started to experiment with different classes and builds to see if I would be able to discover some weird ‘gem’ in preparation for the reset. Needless to say, my rank ended at around ~800 just before the reset due to this.

Reset:
I knew that when the reset was going into place, that it will would just be a lottery draw. Since the matchmaking without any limitations, considers every player as a “newbie”. So if you got up or down at the initial reset, would just be spinning a wheel of fortune and hoping for the best. Unfortunately, I ended up drawing the shortest stick. With constant 4vs5 / 3vs5 and having more R1 players in my team than the opposing team. I ended up in a spiral of loss streaks and eventually ending up at ~30%. Now this is not where my concern is.

The Main Issue:
Here’s where I find the lack of understanding of the system. Right now, every win gives me about ~1% increase. I’ve managed to climb slowly upwards with a series of more wins than losses by being able to carry “less skilled” players. I’m certain that eventually I’ll end up at my old Rank by just playing. But here’s the problem, there’s a few players I’ve been following and I’ve noticed that when they get like a 5 win streak, they end up from like 70% to 500 Rank, which is a huge step and leaves me mind boggled as to why I’m not myself getting these huge jumps.

Right now I’m at ~70% with a huge effort put in the amount of wins I’ve had compared to the losses. If I at this very moment would want to be back in the Top 1000, I would have to win 30 times in a row for the ~1% increase per win. While some other players are only needed to get like a few wins and they’re suddenly at the top 300 just like that. So it really feels like my current Rating got bugged somehow as it makes no sense that I have to put 3000% more effort than a regular player just to manage back to the top 1000.

Is my Solo arena rating bugged?

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Posted by: Rallad.3802

Rallad.3802

Well done on continuously increasing your rank patiently!

It might be the following: The maximum percentile achievable before entering the top 1000 isn’t fixed theoretically, but rather is determined by the number of players registered in the leaderboards, so the big jump you described can be cause by that the top 1000 are equivalent to the >80% percentile for example.

So you probably only need to push a bit further

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Posted by: Silentshoes.1805

Silentshoes.1805

What you may be seeing is their Decay being erased when they finally play.

Most of the top 100 do not really play all that often once they get their “rank”, since the main direction they go when they actually play is DOWN in rating.

Look at the former #1 guy, who started playing again in the past few days and dropped nearly 100 places on the leaderboard.

The other factor is the portion of your MMR called the deviance coefficient. This is a factor that affects how much your MMR is allowed to change with a win or a loss. If you play a lot, this factor keeps your MMR more steady, since it is more “confident” that your MMR is an accurate rating of your true skill.

At least that is how I understand it.

The Alien (condi necro),That Wreckin Crew (Mesmer)
Silentshoes (Thief), Wind of the Woods (condi ranger)

(edited by Silentshoes.1805)

Is my Solo arena rating bugged?

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Posted by: Dosvidaniya.3260

Dosvidaniya.3260

Well done on continuously increasing your rank patiently!

It might be the following: The maximum percentile achievable before entering the top 1000 isn’t fixed theoretically, but rather is determined by the number of players registered in the leaderboards, so the big jump you described can be cause by that the top 1000 are equivalent to the >80% percentile for example.

So you probably only need to push a bit further

This.

Last I checked, the current boundary between the top 1000 and a percent is around 70%. You are right next to the border. Push it a little higher and you should pop into the 1000.

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Posted by: Blackwyn.8127

Blackwyn.8127

Well I had a “less” successful day yesterday so I went down a bit. But today it went more fluently and managed to gather a few wins. Still giving me the ~1% per win at 70%+.
The whole idea that there’s a current jump from 70% to top 1000, sounds very inconsistent and based on some of the ranks of my friends / people I’m following, I find it to be very unlikely.

Some of the players I’ve been following, have not taken a break since the reset and are actively playing since then. I’ve seen them move huge spots from a few wins, well certainly much more than 1% per win at least and some of them have played a lot more matches than I have since the reset.

Is my Solo arena rating bugged?

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Posted by: Blackwyn.8127

Blackwyn.8127

So after roughly ~120 wins, I’m now back at the top 1000. It has been a terrible experience that I’ve had to put this much effort just because my luck was down the drain with the few first matches and decided to stick me down at the very bottom. While on the other hand, if you get lucky with the first few matches, it’ll put you right at the top.

Hopefully once ladders come out, the system will be much more polished and be a more fun experience to play than this.