Guild Wars 2

OK math and logic people.

Can we deduce how large the “pool” is that the SoloQ matcher is drawing from?

This might explain how the top MMRs all land on the same team.

As evidence, we have the size of the leaderboards today, about 115 hours since the “fun” began.

We see how many total matches the people are averaging on the leaderboard. (LOTS of 12-15 matches).

We know that the NA leaderboard was at about 200 people after day 1. It hit the 1000 mark after about 3 days.

I hear that the EU leaderboard is a bit bigger.

Can we deduce how many games have taken place, and how big the queue must have been to have 5-7-minute wait times?

I have a little more information.

Doing a little bit of screen scraping, and using a spreadsheet, I see that as of 8pmCST 10-Aug, there were a total of 30,768 matches logged by the 1000 people on the NA leaderboard. (There were 34420 logged on the EU 1000.)

But back to North America.

Games started on August 6th at about 9am CST.

In 108 hours, 30,768 games were played by the top 1000.

We have to add the games by the people below 1000, the percentage people.

They appeared 24 hours ago. There are 30 pages of them, or about 750 of them

If they, too averaged 30.76 games each (like the 1,000 did) that’s 23000 more games.

Total game in 108 hours: 53,844

That’s about 500 matches per hour.

Games are about 20 minutes total, or 3 per hour

So, would that be 500/3 servers, or 166 matches going at once.

How many people in the queue?

Please check my math and assumptions.