Tournament PvP Win Rates

Tournament PvP Win Rates

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Posted by: nastyjman.8207

nastyjman.8207

I had created a spreadsheet a month ago that calculated the win rate of the first team reaching 250 points in a match. The current win rate is still at 87%.

I have recently added more data on the spreadsheet. Click this for the Google Docs link.

Below are the current win rates in the spreadsheet:

- First Team Reaching 250 Points
- First Team with First Kill
- Team Composition
- Team Distribution
- Profession

The tournaments that I have gathered info on are Mistpedia, ESL, ToL and MLG.

If the Team Comp shows “GW,ET,E”, that means the team is composed of Guardian, Warrior, Engineer, Thief and Elementalist. The first set represents heavy class, second set is medium class, third set is light class. If you see an X, that means the class is not included in the team comp. For example, “GWW,X,EM”, that means the team is composed of a Guardian, Warriors (two of them), Elementalist and Mesmer.

“Point Spread” represents the two team’s point spread after the match ends. If it shows 100, the scores at the end of the game is approximately 500 to 400. A spread greater than 400 is considered lopsided. Less than 100, the game is close and evenly matched.

There are multiple sheets in the spreadsheet, so look around. I have also added an auto-filter on the Team Composition Header so you can sort by clicking the top-down. Google Docs is having issues with the size of the data and calculations in this spreadsheet. You might encounter errors when you sort through the info and data.

SNAPSHOTS

Profession Win Rate

  1. Guardian 50.24%
  2. Warrior 50.00%
  3. Thief 52.24%
  4. Ranger 50.00%
  5. Necromancer 47.25%
  6. Engineer 44.77%
  7. Elementalist 58.86%
  8. Mesmer 52.54%

Most Played Team Comp Win Rate

  1. GW,RT,M 70.5%
  2. GW,RT,N 50.0%
  3. GWW,RT,X 42.4%
  4. GW,T,EM 64.0%
  5. GW,ERT,X 42.9%
  6. GGW,X,EN 70.6%
  7. GW,T,EN 66.7%
  8. GW,ER,N 42.9%
  9. G,ERT,M 38.5%
  10. GW,ET,N 46.2%

I hope this info is useful, informative and galvanizing for the PvP community. I will continue to update the spreadsheet. There are more tournaments that needs to be included. Also, tips are welcome in the form of copper, silver or gold. :-)

First Team to reach 250 has 87% chance to win (Updated 7/30/2014) : http://bit.ly/1lWH6T8

(edited by nastyjman.8207)

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Posted by: silentnight warrior.2714

silentnight warrior.2714

Nice work and nice data.

Anet should look at this when balancing the game. I wasn’t expecting a team with two guardians with a win rate of 70.6% and i was not expecting a double warr team to only have 42.4% win ratio.
What i really was not expecting was the win ratio of the team with a mesmer, 70.5%.

Again, very usefull data. Nice work.

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Posted by: Marcos.3690

Marcos.3690

“First Team to reach 250 has 87% chance to win”

This is why watching conquest tournaments is so boring

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Posted by: nastyjman.8207

nastyjman.8207

“First Team to reach 250 has 87% chance to win”

This is why watching conquest tournaments is so boring

GW2 PvP doesn’t have the usual early game, mid-game and late game divisions. But in my opinion the game has a First-Half and a Second-Half division. Once a team reaches 250, the second-half of the game begins.

First Team to reach 250 has 87% chance to win (Updated 7/30/2014) : http://bit.ly/1lWH6T8

(edited by nastyjman.8207)

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Posted by: Lux.7169

Lux.7169

Some of this is really interesting. One thing I want to know is the win% of the first team to cap mid.

I’ll be tipping in game when I get home.

[SoF]

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Posted by: Miku Lawrence.6329

Miku Lawrence.6329

  1. GW,RT,M 70.5%
  2. GW,RT,N 50.0%
  3. GWW,RT,X 42.4%
  4. GW,T,EM 64.0%
  5. GW,ERT,X 42.9%
  6. GGW,X,EN 70.6%
  7. GW,T,EN 66.7%
  8. GW,ER,N 42.9%
  9. G,ERT,M 38.5%
  10. GW,ET,N 46.2%

Can someone tell me what that means?

Snow Crows [SC]

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Posted by: Booms.2594

Booms.2594

“If the Team Comp shows “GW,ET,E”, that means the team is composed of Guardian, Warrior, Engineer, Thief and Elementalist. The first set represents heavy class, second set is medium class, third set is light class. If you see an X, that means the class is not included in the team comp. For example, “GWW,X,EM”, that means the team is composed of a Guardian, Warriors (two of them), Elementalist and Mesmer.”
A+ for effort

gerdian

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Posted by: Ryan.9387

Ryan.9387

Every team comp below 43% has a ranger…

But add ONE MESMER and and 70%!!!

Ranger | Elementalist

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Posted by: Kiriakulos.1690

Kiriakulos.1690

I’m wondering how the kitten does GGW,X,EN work.
You camp mid with a Guard?

Attrition – A pretty name for taking longer than anyone else to kill something.

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Posted by: Miku Lawrence.6329

Miku Lawrence.6329

“If the Team Comp shows “GW,ET,E”, that means the team is composed of Guardian, Warrior, Engineer, Thief and Elementalist. The first set represents heavy class, second set is medium class, third set is light class. If you see an X, that means the class is not included in the team comp. For example, “GWW,X,EM”, that means the team is composed of a Guardian, Warriors (two of them), Elementalist and Mesmer.”
A+ for effort

Thanks, totally forgot T stands for Thief so was confused. Aww, it was even in the main post. So silly >.<

Snow Crows [SC]

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Posted by: Terrahero.9358

Terrahero.9358

  1. GW,RT,M 70.5%
  2. GW,RT,N 50.0%
  3. GWW,RT,X 42.4%
  4. GW,T,EM 64.0%
  5. GW,ERT,X 42.9%
  6. GGW,X,EN 70.6%
  7. GW,T,EN 66.7%
  8. GW,ER,N 42.9%
  9. G,ERT,M 38.5%
  10. GW,ET,N 46.2%

Can someone tell me what that means?

Quite simple. The winrate of a certain comp.

example
A team made up of a Guardian, Warrior, Ranger, Thief and Mesmer (GWRTM) seems to win on average 70.5% of their matches.

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Posted by: nastyjman.8207

nastyjman.8207

I’m wondering how the kitten does GGW,X,EN work.
You camp mid with a Guard?

I haven’t done extensive analysis on the team comps. I just plowed through some of the matches to make note of them in the sheets. The GGW heavy combo shows up on all matches but one in ESL #34. http://www.twitch.tv/blu42/b/539980692

First Team to reach 250 has 87% chance to win (Updated 7/30/2014) : http://bit.ly/1lWH6T8

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Posted by: nastyjman.8207

nastyjman.8207

Spreadsheet is updated. Here’s the link:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1e1FKbeC03LxpsK1A53g2rJp1xkWpAfdbHyc2hYztaxU/edit#gid=1321232728

I had changed the marker for Elementalist from E to L. If you see GW,T,LM, it means the team comp is Guardian, Warrior, Thief, Elementalist and Mesmer.

Snapshot:

Profession Win Rate
Elementalist – 56.41%
Mesmer – 52.24%
Ranger – 50.81%
Thief – 50.80%
Warrior – 50.43%
Guardian – 49.38%
Necromancer – 46.37%
Engineer – 43.28%

Team Comp Win Rate (appearing more than 15 games in the data)
GW,RT,L – 77.3%
GW,RT,M – 73.5%
GW,ET,L – 65.2%
GW,T,LN – 62.5%
GGW,X,LN – 61.3%
GW,T,LM – 59.4%
G,ERT,M – 50.0%
GWW,RT,X – 48.9%
GWW,T,L – 41.2%
GW,RT,N – 40.7%
GWW,T,N – 40.0%
GW,ER,N – 38.1%
GW,ERT,X – 34.9%
GW,ET,N – 33.3%
GW,ET,M – 15.8%

First Team to Reach 250 Win Rate: 84.97%

I am curious as to why 55 HP Monks stopped doing their team comp of GW,RT,M…

First Team to reach 250 has 87% chance to win (Updated 7/30/2014) : http://bit.ly/1lWH6T8

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Posted by: butch.8136

butch.8136

‘First Team to Reach 250 Win Rate: 84.97%’

Lets hope we get a conquest scoring overhaul or a game mode that’s objective-based and not score-based.

Razor xxxx (Desolation ; Off)
Bring back: ‘Gamer’ title + MAT’s!
Throw out: Hotjoin!

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Posted by: Flumek.9043

Flumek.9043

The biggest problem is the 91% and 82% pressence of guardians and most of all – warior

While 2 guards oftem means one is dps, which is counterable, and more interesting to fight as its a zerker.
Warrior on the other hand is just boring , riskfree and everpowered to play or play against.
Im actualy surprised theres so many guards, as each team has at least 1 warior and soloQ games with 4-6 of them seem average to me.

PvP guild [YUM] -apply- (EU) http://muffinspvp.shivtr.com/

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Posted by: silentnight warrior.2714

silentnight warrior.2714

So the best team comp is Guardian – Warrior – Ranger – Thief – Ele with 77.3% wins.

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Posted by: nastyjman.8207

nastyjman.8207

So the best team comp is Guardian – Warrior – Ranger – Thief – Ele with 77.3% wins.

The team comp was used by Rom’s Going To Jail and Enhanced. Only appeared on 22 games. It might be the best team comp, but it’s not showing up that much in the tourneys.

First Team to reach 250 has 87% chance to win (Updated 7/30/2014) : http://bit.ly/1lWH6T8