Elixir X
Yes, I noticed this right after it was brought up, got 4 tornados in a row in hotm. Following, I logged on a couple days later, and got 2 rampages in a row.
I’m not sure if something is wrong. I think, as boring as it sounds, someone needs to conduct a larger test. Maybe to save time, we could have lots of engineers deliver their data to this thread, add everything up for a larger sample size. I would exclude mine to the count, but maybe when I get home I’ll try and do something like 10 transformations, and return with the results.
That’s a great idea… we could all log our results from 10 Transforms…
I’m gonna wipe the slate clean and post mine tonight!
My first set of data is as follows:
Total uses of Elixir X: 14
Tornadoes: 7
Rampage: 7
Hopefully, others can contribute. Even though, I managed to run gw2 at work in the background and only press 0 once every few minutes, I don’t have the patience for more than that. Hopefully others can bring in some data, but it looks fine to me. I actually had tornado in the lead up until the end, where rampage evened out.
This was all done sitting in hotm, without doing or pressing anything other than my elite button, so if there is a bug related to other skills, this methodology would miss it.
Further reading here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apophenia
Because that is what is happening. True randomness does not appear random to us. True randomness can be getting Tornado 25 times in a row. The next time you push that button, it is still 50/50 whether you get Tornado or Rampage, no matter how often either has happened in the past.
The strength of heart to face oneself has been made manifest. The persona Carighan has appeared.