Guild Wars 2

The past 4 days I have tried to forge over 400 rares, shortbows/gs/hammers and have received 0 exotics. I am not using a hyperbole here. I have literally threw more than 50g worth of rares for 0 exotic.

Does anyone else have had the same issue?

After throwing 100 more rares inside the forge I got 1 exotic.

I total more than 100 forges for 1 exotic so far, which is 1% chance.

Bump, nobody has similar issues?

rng is rng unfortunately, you could throw 1000 in there and not get any exotics or throw 8 in and get 2 both precursors, although highly unlikely its possible.

are you making sure all 4 rares average out lvl wise at over lvl 75 other wise there is no chance of getting an exotic anyway.

RNG is RNG indeed, but when we talk about chances like 1/5 or 20% and the result is 1% then something is wrong.

What happened is practically impossible, when you forge 100 times and all come out rare, you get 25 rares back. Which means you can make 106 tries in total.

I had more than 150 tries(with these 500+ rares) and the concept of “bad luck” or “rng” doesn’t seem to fit here. Remember we are talking about moderate chances(20%) and the result is way far than this.

Btw ,you can get exotics with rare items of level 65-66, since upgrading of rarity also means upgrading of level, you can try that with lower than 68 Lv rares(68+ is what exotics are).

All rares were Lv 80 bought off TP.

I was going by the information I know to get precusors from the forge the items need to average at 75, ive not needed to know anything else since I wouldn’t gamble on the forge for anything less.

practically imposible means there is a chance I spent over 150g on giant wintersday gifts and didn’t get a everlasting tonic or the mini, then gave up and got them both and the unbreakable bell within 2 days from random gift drops so rng to that extent can happen.

You are talking about tiny chances + big ammounts VS Big chances + small ammounts.

It’s much more likely to not get a tonic with 0.01 % chance by opening 5.000 gifts than to fail 99 time with a 20% chance out of 100 tries.. That is what drives me crazy here.

I was experiencing this a few days ago as well. At least 50 forges with rares and not a single exotic. (Note also that they were all greatsword rares, and having 4 of a kind of weapon is supposedly more likely to return an exotic than random rares.) Any chance this has been fixed?