Stupidly Low Drop Rate of Chaos of Lyssa

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Posted by: Vixena.3821

Vixena.3821

Can we get any clarification on exactly how rare this recipe is actually supposed to be? Is it supposed to be on the levels of precursor rare or even moreso?

As of now, there are still no Recipes of Lyssa on the TP. In addition, the 1150g… yes… 1150g buy orders for the recipe have not been touched all day. What is going on here?

(edited by Vixena.3821)

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Posted by: hyman.7526

hyman.7526

i doubt people would sell them at 1150g…. after the events over it will be the rarest item in game, someone could probably sell for 10k or even more

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Posted by: Zaxares.5419

Zaxares.5419

Unless, of course, ANet tweaks the drop rate or adds them to the vendors.

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Posted by: Farming Flats.5370

Farming Flats.5370

I see one on the TP .. 999 Gold

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Posted by: Vol.7601

Vol.7601

i doubt people would sell them at 1150g…. after the events over it will be the rarest item in game, someone could probably sell for 10k or even more

If I had the recipe I would sell it now. Anet will never make an item that rare, especially with the outrage that would follow.

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Posted by: APW.1569

APW.1569

i doubt people would sell them at 1150g…. after the events over it will be the rarest item in game, someone could probably sell for 10k or even more

If I had the recipe I would sell it now. Anet will never make an item that rare, especially with the outrage that would follow.

Yeah, i am pretty sure that some people who got it as a drop dont have the gold for the listing fee.

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Posted by: Vol.7601

Vol.7601

I can’t say it or else I’ll get banned once again ;_;

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Posted by: kokiman.2364

kokiman.2364

I can’t say it or else I’ll get banned once again ;_;

Wow someone really likes to get attention.

GuildWars 2

Currently playing Heart of Thorns.

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Posted by: Vol.7601

Vol.7601

I can’t say it or else I’ll get banned once again ;_;

Wow someone really likes to get attention.

?_?

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Posted by: Gasoline.2570

Gasoline.2570

Why is there a buy order for 1 5 0 0 ? ? ?

Attachments:

The balance team is chained to SPVP, and the PVE team is all about producing carnivals

(edited by Gasoline.2570)

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Posted by: Illconceived Was Na.9781

Illconceived Was Na.9781

Why is there a buy order for 1 5 0 0 ? ? ?

Someone has more dollars than sense?

John Smith: “you should kill monsters, because killing monsters is awesome.”

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Posted by: tolunart.2095

tolunart.2095

Someone who has a lot of gold and wants to make sure his order is filled… believe it or not, some people know the difference between real and fake money.

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Posted by: Malediktus.9250

Malediktus.9250

Why is there a buy order for 1 5 0 0 ? ? ?

xanthium of dreams is 1500g now? When it dropped for me it was only around 100g minus taxes Which I would have kept it, but I didnt expect it to be rare because I got it on first run

1st person worldwide to reach 35,000 achievement points.

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Posted by: Myst.5783

Myst.5783

Its not worth it to farm.

Get a load of this,
http://youtu.be/bGDmuSVqyGg

Considering each bag costs a entrance ticket its simply not worth it.

Currently playing: Mesmer/Ele/Theif
JQ

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Posted by: KOPPER.1458

KOPPER.1458

I had the same experience last night. I did over 350 bags in one sitting. 1 Favor and the rest @ 1 token per bag.

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Posted by: Myst.5783

Myst.5783

I made the mistake of destroying all my tickets from last time, I spent all the tickets I had/could buy and got nothing from the drops.

Currently playing: Mesmer/Ele/Theif
JQ

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Posted by: Zaoda.1653

Zaoda.1653

I’m not surprised Anet has ignored this topic entirely. Either they’re on vacation or just don’t give 2 cabbages about us. My guess is it’s the latter.

It’s pretty ridiculous this item is on par with precursor sort of drop rates. Quite frankly I’m sick of Anet making items this uberly rare for something which really shouldn’t be due to its counterparts (light of dwayna & shadow of grenth).

It’s like a permanent hairstylist contract V2 scenario. No one can get it, and it ain’t fun.

Forever a supporter of more male skimpy armor

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Posted by: Vol.7601

Vol.7601

I opened 750 chances, nothing good.

BTW the 2500g one got sold.

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Posted by: Nike.2631

Nike.2631

ANet isn’t ignoring the thread – the game speaks for itself.

The recipe is RARE. The most plausible speculative rarity I’ve seen (about 1/2000) ain’t “Precursor rare” by about 3-4 orders of magnitude.

“You keep saying ‘its unfair.’
I wonder what your basis for comparison is…”
- Jareth, King of Goblins.

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Posted by: basemoan.4702

basemoan.4702

Unless, of course, ANet tweaks the drop rate or adds them to the vendors.

This is what I am worried about most. Could we please get some clarification as to whether the droprate and availability of this recipe is currently functioning as intended?

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Posted by: Nike.2631

Nike.2631

This is what I am worried about most. Could we please get some clarification as to whether the droprate and availability of this recipe is currently functioning as intended?

Other than people’s unfulfilled lust for them what possible reason do you have to think it’s not working as intended?

“You keep saying ‘its unfair.’
I wonder what your basis for comparison is…”
- Jareth, King of Goblins.

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Posted by: Axialbloom.8109

Axialbloom.8109

ANet isn’t ignoring the thread – the game speaks for itself.

The recipe is RARE. The most plausible speculative rarity I’ve seen (about 1/2000) ain’t “Precursor rare” by about 3-4 orders of magnitude.

You left a few zeroes off there…

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Posted by: Nike.2631

Nike.2631

Only if you’ve had a run of 8,000 bags and no luck. For every person that gets one in the first twenty, there’s someone who won’t get one opening 4,000. And odds approach 100% the second guy will come on here to complain .

There have ben large-scale tests of the MF rates for precursors, and in the case of them dropping directly from mobs, one in 2-5 million doesn’t seem at all implausible.

“You keep saying ‘its unfair.’
I wonder what your basis for comparison is…”
- Jareth, King of Goblins.

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Posted by: Buttercup.5871

Buttercup.5871

Make that 2500 gold.

Attachments:

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Posted by: Axialbloom.8109

Axialbloom.8109

Only if you’ve had a run of 8,000 bags and no luck. For every person that gets one in the first twenty, there’s someone who won’t get one opening 4,000. And odds approach 100% the second guy will come on here to complain .

There have ben large-scale tests of the MF rates for precursors, and in the case of them dropping directly from mobs, one in 2-5 million doesn’t seem at all implausible.

You seem to have no idea just how rare this drop is.

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Posted by: Nike.2631

Nike.2631

You open 8,000 bags already?

“You keep saying ‘its unfair.’
I wonder what your basis for comparison is…”
- Jareth, King of Goblins.

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Posted by: ZilentNight.5089

ZilentNight.5089

The bigger issue is that we never get a response back in time for these limited time patches.

If the response comes, it is in the last few days of an event, lets look at the final scarlet event. 3 watchwork knights achievement was bugged for nearly 2 weeks and it was finally fixed 4 days prior to this event……

Now if Anet fixes the drop rate or admit that it is was way too low, this will upset the people who purchased the recipe for 1000+ gold…
The longer they wait to respond, the worse this situation becomes.

We need the developers of the current content to be actively addressing bugs/issues as they come up when their respective patch goes live.
They are obviously not playing their own content, look at what happened in Aspect Arena on the first day….
I feel like this game is still in beta….

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Posted by: Axialbloom.8109

Axialbloom.8109

You open 8,000 bags already?

https://forum-en.gw2archive.eu/forum/livingworld/fotfw/Recipe-Chaos-of-Lyssa-drop-rate/first

Your willful ignorance has gotten to the point of trolling. The droprate is most likely worse than 1 in 100,000.

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Posted by: Zaxares.5419

Zaxares.5419

Since the Festival end date is now fixed at July 1st, I’m hoping that we’ll see this addressed before it goes away.

My three preferred solutions (I’d be happy with any one of the three):

1. Increase the drop rate of the Chaos of Lyssa recipe to 2% from a Gauntlet Chance, and 10% from beating Liadri.

2. Allow people to trade 250 Gauntlet tickets for a recipe.

3. Allow people to trade a Favor of the Festival for a recipe.

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Posted by: jazzllanna.1278

jazzllanna.1278

Since the Festival end date is now fixed at July 1st, I’m hoping that we’ll see this addressed before it goes away.

My three preferred solutions (I’d be happy with any one of the three):

1. Increase the drop rate of the Chaos of Lyssa recipe to 2% from a Gauntlet Chance, and 10% from beating Liadri.

2. Allow people to trade 250 Gauntlet tickets for a recipe.

3. Allow people to trade a Favor of the Festival for a recipe.

I don’t think trading gauntlet tickets would be fair to those that actually tried the gauntlet with their tickets. I do agree with your other 2 ideas though. I am actually saving a favor of the festival in hopes that they do add it as a purchase option, although I highly doubt we will see any changes in the current event. Maybe next year.

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Posted by: Zombiism.9375

Zombiism.9375

I’ve opened up over 3000 bags and I’ve gotten like 15 favors and that’s all

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Posted by: tsawr.7905

tsawr.7905

2 recipes got bought out for 2k+ :$

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Posted by: Jahroots.6791

Jahroots.6791

Am I the only one that doesn’t even think that it looks good? That’s the least appealing of the god-themed back items, imo.

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Posted by: jazzllanna.1278

jazzllanna.1278

Am I the only one that doesn’t even think that it looks good? That’s the least appealing of the god-themed back items, imo.

I think it looks ok. My problem with the whole crappy drop rate is that I have collected every recipe that is from events. I can’t get this one though.

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Posted by: khani.4786

khani.4786

Am I the only one that doesn’t even think that it looks good? That’s the least appealing of the god-themed back items, imo.

I think it looks ok. My problem with the whole crappy drop rate is that I have collected every recipe that is from events. I can’t get this one though.

Same here. I have the other two Gods’ recipes even if I haven’t had the funds to make either and I was hoping to get this one too, but no way will I pay more than 20g (tops) for one.

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Posted by: Cormac.3871

Cormac.3871

Since the Festival end date is now fixed at July 1st, I’m hoping that we’ll see this addressed before it goes away.

My three preferred solutions (I’d be happy with any one of the three):

1. Increase the drop rate of the Chaos of Lyssa recipe to 2% from a Gauntlet Chance, and 10% from beating Liadri.

2. Allow people to trade 250 Gauntlet tickets for a recipe.

3. Allow people to trade a Favor of the Festival for a recipe.

Actually, I’d say a few favours, but this would be a good way of doing it because it means that you will have have had to open quite a few chances, but it evens out your odds and you can actually make progress towards it.

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Posted by: basemoan.4702

basemoan.4702

This is what I am worried about most. Could we please get some clarification as to whether the droprate and availability of this recipe is currently functioning as intended?

Other than people’s unfulfilled lust for them what possible reason do you have to think it’s not working as intended?

Well I don’t have proof of how many recipes have dropped but I’ve been carefully watching the TP along with a large number of friends that play the game. Based on that, it seems that the total number that have passed through the TP is much smaller than 100 and my own guess would be that it isn’t more than 20.
TP tracking sites that I am aware of (spidy and tp.net) have not been able to display any metadata on the item and in the actual in game TP, the displayed price is frozen at 999g until you inspect the entry.

So if you consider that the ENTIRE game population has been opening gauntlet chances since the Gauntlet was reopened. (I cannot even fathom how many gauntlet chances that could be total) And the total number of recipes present in the game has caused it’s rarity to allow it to be valued as the most expensive item in the game outside of a full legendary weapon (or the hallowed Perma Hairstyle).

So yes, since you seem to be legitimately questioning the fact, I do believe this item is hyper-rare beyond simply the lust of players for a desirable item.

And given that the droprate is so exceptionally small, it seems highly unlikely that ANET intended for a LS backpiece of this context (continuation of Dwayna, Grenth line) to be so rare. So it seems more likely that the droprate will be adjusted before the Gauntlet closes thereby crashing the TP value of this recipe and completely devaluing the recipes that players currently possess or have unlocked.

Therefore we really need some clarification from an ANET representative that the item is in fact as rare and as valuable as it is currently.

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Posted by: tolunart.2095

tolunart.2095

Maybe people who get them are holding on to them in order to sell after the event is over. Or even (gasp!) using them.

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Posted by: silvermember.8941

silvermember.8941

If they are going to fix the recipe, which I hope they don’t, it wont be until june 3rd when they patch in the WvW season 2 vendor.

As u know im pro. ~Tomonobu Itagaki

This is an mmo forum, if someone isn’t whining chances are the game is dead.

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Posted by: rainynoble.6531

rainynoble.6531

If they are going to fix the recipe, which I hope they don’t, it wont be until june 3rd when they patch in the WvW season 2 vendor.

What make you think Tuesday is the special day?

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Posted by: silvermember.8941

silvermember.8941

If they are going to fix the recipe, which I hope they don’t, it wont be until june 3rd when they patch in the WvW season 2 vendor.

What make you think Tuesday is the special day?

That would be when the vendor for WvW tournament gets implemented, presumably this would be also when any changes COULD be made too the drop rate, assuming it is a bug and not intentional.

As u know im pro. ~Tomonobu Itagaki

This is an mmo forum, if someone isn’t whining chances are the game is dead.

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Posted by: Butch.4957

Butch.4957

Honestly, I am waiting for a Balthazar themed back piece. Most of my character’s armors are based around fire themed dyes so purple, white, and green do not go very well with them.

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Posted by: Axialbloom.8109

Axialbloom.8109

Honestly, I am waiting for a Balthazar themed back piece. Most of my character’s armors are based around fire themed dyes so purple, white, and green do not go very well with them.

Uhh…

http://wiki.guildwars2.com/wiki/Fires_of_Balthazar_Skin