The balance team is chained to SPVP, and the PVE team is all about producing carnivals
Fused weapon drop rate data
Let’s see what the average will be
Statistically inaccurate
Surveying forums leads to massive biases including Sample Bias and Response Bias. In this case there are at least 3 other biases not being accounted for off the top of my head.
(edited by Mika.9815)
Let’s see what the average will be
Statistically inaccurate
Surveying forums leads to massive biases including Sample Bias and Response Bias. In this case there are at least 3 other biases not being accounted for off the top of my head.
So why don’t you guys just release the “accurate” statistics, then? Stop people from having to guess and make these kinds of threads in the first place.
twitch.tv/aliettefaye
Let’s see what the average will be
Statistically inaccurate
Surveying forums leads to massive biases including Sample Bias and Response Bias. In this case there are at least 3 other biases not being accounted for off the top of my head.
So why don’t you guys just release the “accurate” statistics, then? Stop people from having to guess and make these kinds of threads in the first place.
Because, the secrets of the universe are not to be revealed so easily.
.
Statistically inaccurate
Surveying forums leads to massive biases including Sample Bias and Response Bias. In this case there are at least 3 other biases not being accounted for off the top of my head.
They still reperesent a better sense of the environment than we might have otherwise. Much like ecto-rates, you don’t have to have flawless accuracy to have learned something about the proposition.
From reading the reports, biased or not, I feel pretty comfortable estimating that the chance of getting a molten weapon ticket is less than 1 in two boxes…
and less than 1 in five boxes…
or less than 1 in twenty…
Heck. I’m going to go out on a limb and say it’s less than 1 in 90 boxes based on biased observation.
None of which would have been appearant from the patch notes alone.
“You keep saying ‘its unfair.’
I wonder what your basis for comparison is…”
- Jareth, King of Goblins.
I wonder what your basis for comparison is…”
- Jareth, King of Goblins.
(edited by Nike.2631)
Let’s see what the average will be
Statistically inaccurate
Surveying forums leads to massive biases including Sample Bias and Response Bias. In this case there are at least 3 other biases not being accounted for off the top of my head.
Oh boy! A new game! Let me try to name the biases of the OP:
1) Funding outcome bias
2) Detection bias
3) Reporting bias
4) Data sniffing bias
5) Analytical bias
6) Exclusion bias
In GW2, Trading Post plays you!
Warriors are those who choose to stand between their enemy and all that he loves or hold sacred
(edited by Krosslite.1950)
Let’s see what the average will be
Statistically inaccurate
Surveying forums leads to massive biases including Sample Bias and Response Bias. In this case there are at least 3 other biases not being accounted for off the top of my head.
You’re having a field day aren’t you. I rather have see nobody post if it’s just you and these half-witted prove-you-wrong jokes just for your own little pleasure in this little interwebs market of yours. Oh it’s so fascinating. Proceed my sheep, continue the markets!
The balance team is chained to SPVP, and the PVE team is all about producing carnivals
“You keep saying ‘its unfair.’
I wonder what your basis for comparison is…”
- Jareth, King of Goblins.
I wonder what your basis for comparison is…”
- Jareth, King of Goblins.
“Whose Kitten is this?” – “It’s a Charr baby.”
“Whose Charr is this?”- “Ted’s.”
“Who’s Ted?”- “Ted’s dead, baby. Ted’s dead.”
“Whose Charr is this?”- “Ted’s.”
“Who’s Ted?”- “Ted’s dead, baby. Ted’s dead.”
(edited by Mentats.1923)
This useless bar doesn’t make you awesome. However, stuff above does.
“Whose Kitten is this?” – “It’s a Charr baby.”
“Whose Charr is this?”- “Ted’s.”
“Who’s Ted?”- “Ted’s dead, baby. Ted’s dead.”
“Whose Charr is this?”- “Ted’s.”
“Who’s Ted?”- “Ted’s dead, baby. Ted’s dead.”
No bad droprate for me.
35 keys bought with some keys from Chest self and got 2 tickets. XD =D
Akaimon | Jolly Good Guardian
Akaigi | Warrior Made of Wood
[CDS] – Sanctum of Rall
Akaigi | Warrior Made of Wood
[CDS] – Sanctum of Rall
Let’s see what the average will be
Statistically inaccurate
Surveying forums leads to massive biases including Sample Bias and Response Bias. In this case there are at least 3 other biases not being accounted for off the top of my head.
So I guess you’ll be giving them the numbers then?
“Failure to remain calm is the sign of a weak mind.”
1 chest, 0 tickets! Working as intended?
Been there, done that. What’s next?
Let’s see what the average will be
Statistically inaccurate
Surveying forums leads to massive biases including Sample Bias and Response Bias. In this case there are at least 3 other biases not being accounted for off the top of my head.
So why don’t you guys just release the “accurate” statistics, then? Stop people from having to guess and make these kinds of threads in the first place.
You mean tell people exactly what it is that they’re buying? But that would be, you know, an honest business practice which might cut into sales.
Welcome to the new, ethics-be-kittened world of video games. If you’re as disgusted with it as I am, vote with your wallet and save your money. Maybe someday enough of us will get fed up with it for something to change.
(edited by rinzler.4908)
Havok Legion [HL]
Fort Aspenwood
Fort Aspenwood
“You keep saying ‘its unfair.’
I wonder what your basis for comparison is…”
- Jareth, King of Goblins.
I wonder what your basis for comparison is…”
- Jareth, King of Goblins.
about 150 chests here. sold my dusk to buy gems… fml
About 100 chests and ZERO tickets.
Yikes.
As a huge advocate of RNG in games (what is the point of anything without rarity?), I salute you all
Asuranaut Tarnished Coast
Intel i7 3.9ghz processor 16GB Ram 2TB HDD
Nvidia GTX 650 Win 7 64bit FFXI 4+yrs/Aion 4+ years Complete Noob~ Veteran OIF/OEF
http://everyonesgrudge.enjin.com/home MY GW2 Music http://tinyurl.com/cm4o6tu
Nvidia GTX 650 Win 7 64bit FFXI 4+yrs/Aion 4+ years Complete Noob~ Veteran OIF/OEF
http://everyonesgrudge.enjin.com/home MY GW2 Music http://tinyurl.com/cm4o6tu
The Iron Hall [HALL] [Desolation] Join Now!
“You keep saying ‘its unfair.’
I wonder what your basis for comparison is…”
- Jareth, King of Goblins.
I wonder what your basis for comparison is…”
- Jareth, King of Goblins.
Black Thunders [BT] – Gandara
The Ephed’s of [TanK]
-FSP-
-FSP-
Let’s see what the average will be
Statistically inaccurate
Surveying forums leads to massive biases including Sample Bias and Response Bias. In this case there are at least 3 other biases not being accounted for off the top of my head.
This is very true. The only people likely to post are either those that have opened a lot of chests and received nothing, or those who’ve opened very few and received one.
Not even accounting for the MASSIVE player base that doesn’t even touch the forums.
The Long Road
Goal: To have one character of every race, gender, and armor class combination at level 80.
Current progress: Human 4/6 | Charr 1/6 | Norn 1/6 | Sylvari 1/6 | Asura 1/6 | Total: 8/30
Goal: To have one character of every race, gender, and armor class combination at level 80.
Current progress: Human 4/6 | Charr 1/6 | Norn 1/6 | Sylvari 1/6 | Asura 1/6 | Total: 8/30