Guild Wars 2

since the new content has been added i am geting more greens that usual farming the pavilion and i usualy let my loot build up untill i cant hold anymore so by the time im ready ot use the mystic forge conduit i got 3+ 20 slot bags full of nothing but greens and for aprox 60 green items im avrageing around 2 rares for my combines and to me this seems like its been majorly nerffed with the sucsess rate on makeing rares i have owned a forge conduit since they came out and i have allways combined my greens and been happy with the results and every so often someone in my guild channle will whine and say the mystic forge has been stealth nerffed QQ. and i go and do my combines and find its working as it allways has for me and tell them they are just imagineing it but for once im actualy finding myselff agreeing with them i suspect the forge has undergone a stealth nerf and i am not getting as many rares as i am used to getting this is not a once off time i combines alot of greens and got nothing i have combined over 200 green items over the last few days and every time i do it it ends poorly and i find myself wishing i had just sold them to a merchant
anyone else noticeing this or am i being the whiney type for once ?

I too save up greens to throw in the forge. And after about 100 items I am seeing far less rares than usual. BUT, a couple of people doing this at such low sample rates does not make a stealth nerf.
The only thing I consider interesting about this is that a large majority of people are doing exactly what you and I have been doing all along. And I can’t help but wonder if the forge has its own quirks of DR or RNG. If only 1000 players are actively using the forge in a certain time period maybe they see a better return as opposed to 100,000 players all using the forge and getting the exact same potential as the lower number only it’s spread across a larger player base. (Edit: as in the number of successes is a percentage success rate until it reaches an invisible cap.)
And that is my conspiracy theory for the day. No merit, no substantial numbers and no facts to back it up. So don’t even run with my idea unless you have a way to throw some facts in.
PS- Aside from those that will come on here and call you a whiner, it’s okay to post this kind of thing. You’re just checking in to make sure it’s not a trend. We all have our whiney days.

Put in 110 rare greatswords yesterday and got 11 exotics out, no nerf, its rng.

Wanze.8410:

Put in 110 rare greatswords yesterday and got 11 exotics out, no nerf, its rng.

personaly i cant say what the sucsess rate is like on exotics ive only been makeing rares (well atempting) and haveing lower than usual sucsess rates usual i find the risk vs reward is not worth it trying to make exotics i only ever get them as a result of trying to make a precursor witch i havent tried since the patch

No idea re: greens to golds, since I don’t do that, but I can confirm a relatively stable drop rate of exotics from rares.

my rate been about the same i have good days and bad days but about the same id say

you can’t nerf a toilet

ANet can.

It´s amazing.

Nuka Cola.8520:

you can’t nerf a toilet

This ^
Made me LoL hard. :P

RNG is RNG. Two people having bad luck is not equal to a nerf. Last night someone got Dusk. I’m not sure how many tries, but they said they were just hoping for something worth like maybe 10g not even really trying for a precursor. So someone else tossed in about 10g or less worth of rare dyes and came out with around 30g worth. I bought 4 of the cheapeast level 80 rare greatswords and tossed them in, got an exotic and made a tiny profit.

I’m not saying that means the forge is good and to dump all you have in it or anything, but you gave examples of bad luck so I gave examples of good luck. I’m not saying there is no chance the forge was nerfed, just that I personally don’t think it was.

Edit: Or that I, personally, have not seen anyone in my server whining about it seeming worse lately. I have also tossed in a bunch of greens and haven’t really had any worse luck than what I expected from previous attempts.

Whenever they release new content that is going to give the player base an abundance of drops the MF suddenly develops a bad drop rate for me as well.

The last time I noticed this was during the Southsun farming cycle before the Karka Queen content was added. People were getting so many drops from doing the constant events I am confident the MF was adjusted in some manner to prevent an abundance of rarer items.

I suspect they do this to keep the TP from crashing or something similar.

All I know is that when the drop rates for gear go up, my MF use goes down until the easy farming stuff is patched out. For now my greens go in storage until it is full and NPCed for guaranteed profit.

chefdiablo.6791:

Whenever they release new content that is going to give the player base an abundance of drops the MF suddenly develops a bad drop rate for me as well.

The last time I noticed this was during the Southsun farming cycle before the Karka Queen content was added. People were getting so many drops from doing the constant events I am confident the MF was adjusted in some manner to prevent an abundance of rarer items.

I suspect they do this to keep the TP from crashing or something similar.

All I know is that when the drop rates for gear go up, my MF use goes down until the easy farming stuff is patched out. For now my greens go in storage until it is full and NPCed for guaranteed profit.

this is exactly the kinda thing i suspect is going on tho we can never prove it even tho i am geting more greens and doing more combines than before im geting less rare/ectos than before so if they are changeing the sucses rates its not even balanceing things out if i am worse off than before

Nope, RNG. Yesterday I threw in 50 rare greatswords and I got a bunch of exotics in a row (about 5) and then Dawn suddenly appeared. Later that night I threw in 50 more rare greatswords and got only 1 exotic.