Guild Wars 2

Phoebe Poison.4875:

I’m one of those people who cringe when they see toons with all armor pieces from one set. So, here’s my necro and all her mixed and matched sets <3 In order: power, healing, conditions.

Also, next to come, zerker, and the planned look for it (more or less + colours will be tweaked ^^).

what colors are those?

hmm. first time i see necro who is using Staff a lot – all time

Bella Risa.7413:

Just lovely

Can you please post names of dyes?

Batlav.6318:

My Norn necro, Will be 80 soon
alt but might become main character because i like it

what gear parts are that you using?? nice looking

Never give up. just be smart and craft your rares and put in Mystic toilet. I gather some materials in map and some i buy. So on 100 rares i spend like max 15 g. At least if i craft crapy exotics i got my 15g back and i can start again.Oofcorse exotics which are less than 2 g i collect and do mystic toilet thing again. You need to be realy patient only.

Shuguard.7125:

Letifer.4360:

Shuguard.7125:

Letifer.4360:

phys.7689:

Shuguard.7125:

Wait a minute you only got 7 exotics out of 200 rares? That seems like there might be a bug there, you should have somewhere around 15-20% chance of making an exotic from 4 rares (lvl80). But with 200 rares that’s a big enough sample size to tell something is wrong. But your original chances with lvl80 rares to get a precursor were slightly better than 1/1000.

its 15 to 20% chance per combine, hence, every 4 rares gives a 15-20% chance at exotics, so on average, at 15% every 26 rares gives you an exotic. Of course, thats if you have consistent performance with the average, if your unlucky it can be way worse.

15% or 20%? 5% is a big difference… and I would like to see where you got that data because as someone else said I was around the 11% and that is ridiculous lol

don’t freak out man, it’s really simple. Basically the percentages have been found to be between 15-20% chance. Your example was on the lower end, meaning it was just bad luck. But if we preformed the same test maybe 20 (with about 200 rares and etc.) times you’d see the chance of getting the exotics to be between 15% and 20%. In short you had some bad luck that put you below the average.

I’m not freaking out I just made a question, and this isn’t the 1st time I do this and have to say this is the most exotics I have ever got lol Those numbers aren’t even close so yes I would like to see that research.

I’ll do some digging and see what i find, it is somewhere.
Edit: HAHA i found it, gosh that was painful.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0At1gVbEnCATUdFZPNjJ3bHlSXzZOZDRMM3Vud1NTbXc#gid=0
and if you want more to read up on it
http://www.guildwars2guru.com/topic/67443-precursor-r-d-thread/page__st__60

Ninja edit:
“Total mystic forge attempts: 740
Total exotics obtained: 144
Exotic chance: 19.46%, which is roughly one per every five attempt.” quote from the guy with the spread sheet.
Note this is of course using lvl 80 rares, if you use anything lower the percentage will be lower.

Nice statistic you made. will do it myself also. Next forging is 500 rares for me..
BTW what kind of GS you put in Mystic toilet???

Rainzar.6905:

dont think karma bought items can be used in the mystic toilet?

Yes it can.

now im up also for daggers. at least exotics can sell for min 3g each, so i got back some money..

Shakki.3219:

got my spark from mystic forge yesterday

wasn’t that expensive, i was throwing past days 10-30 rares in there for fun cause i could craft them and that was the result

what kind of rare daggers you put in? what was the names of rares or all was same tipe. I heard that item stats also can increase precursor success in Mystic toilet.

This mystic toilet thing is my only gold making thing right now. I noticed that i now have less and less exotics coming out.Like 1 month ago i got like 5-9 exotics out from forging 80 rares, now its like 4 exotics max from 80 rares and im forging 2 tiems a week. Well but this all thing is based on luck, one day you can be realy lucky and got good profit from MF and on next time you will fail.

My Asura Necromancer.
Ekzane!!!