Guild Wars 2

Bag slot value pack 350 gems
(1) bag slot expansion
(3) boosters

Today: 40% off Living World Season 2 (Usually 20% off)

What? I don’t see anything up for sale right now?
Did it bug briefly?

Oh living story, can’t see it cuz I got it already.

Inculpatus cedo.9234:

Today: 40% off Living World Season 2 (Usually 20% off)

Figures…I bought this a week or so ago so I could play it before the expansion comes out. Should have waited.

Glad to know that the sales haven’t quite ended just yet. Still holding out for some decent items that are in high demand. Was just about to flush my gems down the loo when I saw there was nothing new on sale that I could get.

They always have sales. This one was just labelled differently.

Well they lost sales with me as I was and am holding gems for char slots. Once I have those from a sale then I will be spending on other things. Until then I wont be spending.

Unless you bought those gems with cash, they don’t care. And even if you did, they already have your money.

The purpose of these sales is to get us to part with whatever gems we already have, deplete gold we already have, and put us in a situation where we are desperate enough to buy gems with cash because only gems bought with cash pays their bills.

Of course to do all that they need to put items up for sale, either new, returning or existing at a discount and considering the exchange rate shot up by 70% I say they succeeded like gangbusters. Likewise since the rate has come down 30% that gems are being sold back to the exchange, likely cash bought ones.

Just because they didn’t have what you wanted, doesn’t mean it’s a bad sale.

Okay, I just ran the gem exchange rate numbers for the sale including the extension and Monday.

Using the recorded exchange rate from GW2TP ( https://www.gw2tp.com/gems ) during the hour and a half around Noon each day to look at the spike when the Gem Shop is updated as well as day to day changes.

The three days that had spikes well about the average were;

• Sep 1st – One Bag slot at 50% off (but rumored unlimited if you bought from your inventory instead of the shop), 75% off one flame and/or one shadow dye kit. – up 25.4%
• Sep 8th – Five Taimi’s Dye kits for 50% off as well as returning for the day – up 22.0%
• Sep 11th – One Total Makeover Kit at 65% off and Heroic Boosters at 30% off. – up 26.4%

The two days that had significant negative spikes were

• Sep 2nd – Belinda’s Greatsword Skin returning at 20% off and the Shadow Assassin’s Outfit at 35% off. – down 7.5%
• Sep 7th – Introduction of the Harbinger of Mordremoth Outfit for 7 days at 700 gems – down 12.8%

Now the negative spikes may be due to players selling gems after seeing what the daily sale was and decided that now was the time to cash in their excess gems. The drop on the 2nd was after the spike on the 1st and the drop on the 7th was after 4 days of rate hikes that in total was 25%.

The two key sales had a 9% spike for 25% off any amount on the first day of 4 sale days and 9.4% spike on the one day sale of 5 keys at 75% off (also five Bank Access express were 90% off).

The one day sale of bank tabs at 20% off (also 75% off the Magic Carpet) had only 5% spike. But the Account Jump Start was introduced Aug 18th and included two bank tabs and that may have satiated some of the demand.

There are also some interesting numbers when you compare the spike around noon vs the 24 change in the rate. But I’ll talk about that next later as it’s late/early.

R.I.P. Grenths Hood hopes ….

^same face for lack of bunny ears too. At least the hood was brought back once. Bunny ears was just out once

Get the devil horns while you can.

Not sure if bug or was meant to be in there now.

Well would you look at that. Town Clothes headgear skin for sale as armor skin.
According to the experts here on the forums they’d never do that, so this is clearly a mass hallucination right?

ScribeTheMad.7614:

Well would you look at that. Town Clothes headgear skin for sale as armor skin.
According to the experts here on the forums they’d never do that, so this is clearly a mass hallucination right?

Devils horns were available as armor skin before from the gem shop, just like many others. However, since they announced a couple of months ago that they wont release any new armor skins through the gem store, they didnt release any armor skins that have only been available as town cloth before.

This is no new armor skin, just a re-release.

Devil Horns – 200 gems

are up for grab under Style section!

Iris Ng.9845:

Devil Horns – 200 gems

are up for grab under Style section!

i dont see them x.x

arenta.2953:

Iris Ng.9845:

Devil Horns – 200 gems

are up for grab under Style section!

i dont see them x.x

No worry!

childhoodtwo.7095:

R.I.P. Grenths Hood hopes ….

Well, it is more of a halloween type of thing anyway?

thisisit.6954:

childhoodtwo.7095:

R.I.P. Grenths Hood hopes ….

Well, it is more of a halloween type of thing anyway?

Wintersday, actually.

Okay, here’s a chart showing the daily spike in the rate around noon each day, the overall change for 24 hours and the difference between the two.

First, when more gems flow out of the exchange compared to flowing in, the rate increases. When more gems flow in to the exchange compared to flowing out, the rate decreases.

The red bars are the spike, the percentage change in the gold to gem exchange rate, measured roughly from 45 minutes before and to after the store reset, 16:00 UTC. The green bars are the daily change from 45 minutes before the reset to the same time the next day. The cyan bars is simply the different between the daily change and the spike, negative means that the 22 1/2 hours after the spike period, the rate went down.

The first ten days, from Aug 21st to Aug 30th were cumulative with items staying until the reset on the 31st. This means that players could wait it out until they saw everything offered and then decide what to spend their gems and how much gold to convert. Although over those 10 days the exchange rate increased 35% overall or 3% a day compounded.

It’s interesting to notice that any sell off after the spike was minor, the worst being down 3.9% after the spike on Aug 26th and that was a down day overall. That’s surprising because it was a day when a bunch of Destiny’s Edge skins returned.

But on the 31st, almost every sale though the was the 24 hour variety and the spikes were much larger as well as the post spike sell off. Nearly every day during the daily sales with 8 out of the 15 days with percentage drops at least twice as large as the worst day of the cumulative sales. That’s a significant cashing in of gems vs buying.

The one thing the daily sales show is player will rush to buy gems while gem holders are more than willing to sell off some gems for gold to cash in on these spikes.

And as I’m writing this the gem exchange rate has returned to the pre-sale level of the mid 19g per 100 gems.

Very nice information you’ve put together for everyone, Behellagh. I miss seeing your charts that you would post often back in the BLTC sub-forum. I always found them to be quite informative.

Also, another thank you to you, Sae, for maintaining the thread during the sales. It was quite helpful.