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53 rares, 2 exotics.

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Posted by: mementomori.8372

mementomori.8372

With a 20% promotion rate, it takes an average of 16 rares per exotic. You weren’t that unlucky; the sample size is just very small.

Anet, can you also change the Zhaitan fight?

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Posted by: mementomori.8372

mementomori.8372

If Zhaitan wants to die while re-enacting the scene from King Kong, then who are we to question that decision?

Crimson Lion Dye Kits drop in BL chests

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Posted by: mementomori.8372

mementomori.8372

Criticisms aside, something that might help is to learn to diversify your portfolio. Investing heavily in a small set of things can net you huge profits if they take off, or, as you’ve just experienced, huge losses if the market crashes. If you invest instead in a variety of items, then you’re less susceptible to “random” occurrences like this one.

Excess T5 matts

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Posted by: mementomori.8372

mementomori.8372

If you have Weaponsmithing, perhaps the best use of Mithril is to craft l80 rare Mithril weapons. People buy these constantly to gamble for precursors at the Mystic Forge, so you can generally sell them for about 50-55s each (if you craft the correct weapon type). Each will take you 4 Elder Wood Planks, 15 of a Fine T5 mat like Large Bone (which you’ll get plenty of doing SW), and varying amounts of Mithril (that part doesn’t matter to you, I’m assuming).

Crimson Lion Dye Kits drop in BL chests

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Posted by: mementomori.8372

mementomori.8372

To be honest, I think that the prices are only decreasing at the moment because many speculators are panicing and selling their dyes. I assume that the drop rates for those dye kits are the same like the rates for the last set of dye kits, and they dropped very rarely (single digit percentage, I think).

There is that, but there’s likely also been an increase in the number of people keyfarming since the announcement of the upped Ticket Scrap rates. There really isn’t that much demand for dyes on a given day, so any noticeable increase in supply will drastically affect prices – even without this panicked selling by people who’d tried to speculate.

Crimson Lion Dye Kits drop in BL chests

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Posted by: mementomori.8372

mementomori.8372

Guessing you invested heavily in Imperial Gold/Red dye on the TP?

There is something wrong here

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Posted by: mementomori.8372

mementomori.8372

This is a game, not a business. If you find something on the ground it is free. If you had to spend money on it to get it in the first place it is not free.

Your argument is invalid.

Two words: opportunity cost.

Three words. It’s a game.

And in what way does that invalidate what I said? Even within the context of the game world, there are better and worse ways to use gold. Given your apparent argument that “it’s a game” trumps the notion of opportunity cost, would you mind sending me the entirety of your gold? Sure it’s not the best use of your gold, but what the heck, it’s a game.

There is something wrong here

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Posted by: mementomori.8372

mementomori.8372

This is a game, not a business. If you find something on the ground it is free. If you had to spend money on it to get it in the first place it is not free.

Your argument is invalid.

Two words: opportunity cost.

Putting a computer together..

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Posted by: mementomori.8372

mementomori.8372

If you’re in the States, a mixture of Newegg/Amazon/Tigerdirect is generally where you’ll find the best deals.

CPU: I recommend an Intel; an i7 if you can afford it. AMD processors are pretty cheap, but they’re not as good for gaming.

Graphics card: it depends on your price range. If you’re looking to spend about $200, the R9 280x is probably the best bang for your buck. At the $300 range, the R9 290x for just under $300 and the GTX 970 for just over.

The rest is fairly standard; don’t spend too much on your motherboard, but get a brand that’s reliable – I can’t stress that enough. The last thing that you’ll definitely want if you can afford it at all is an SSD. It’ll change your life.

we need gold banks back

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Posted by: mementomori.8372

mementomori.8372

Although my opinion would be that any money that simply sits in your bank without even collecting interest is wasted (invest it!), if you simply want to hide your money so you don’t spend it, why not put it into a super low buy order for something like Eternity? The TP will hold it for you and there’s no risk of losing it (heck, if it somehow gets filled for that price, you win anyway XD).

Freedom to reduce listing prices on TP

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Posted by: mementomori.8372

mementomori.8372

If you’re worried about undercutting, then I don’t see why the listing fee is something you’re concerned about – the listing fee is precisely what keeps older sell orders from constantly undercutting you.

No, the real problem here is something no one else seems to have touched upon. 200g for a listing fee at a 5% rate means that OP tried to charge 4K gold for a Legendary. I’m not sure the system is the problem here >_>

RNG is a numbers game, right?

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Posted by: mementomori.8372

mementomori.8372

It is a numbers game, but one that you clearly don’t really understand. Probability is probability, and in this instance, it’s stacked against you. According to the GW2 wiki, the probability of obtaining a precursor on any given forge is 0.79% (when using 4 exotics). Now, let’s calculate the probability of obtaining at least one precursor given some number of forges:

The probability of 0 precursors in x tries: (1-.0079)^x
The probability of at least one precursor given x tries: (1-(1-.0079)^x)
10x: 7.62%
100x: 54.76%
200x: 79.53%
300x: 90.74%

In other words, to have a 90%+ probability of attaining a precursor – which still leaves a 1 in 10 chance of failing! – you would need to forge an average of almost 300 times.

(edited by mementomori.8372)