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How to fix RNG and increase ArenaNet income.

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Vol.5241

The best way to fix this is to operate on a system that rewards failures so that if you are unlucky enough to fail on rolls, you get rewarded in the end.

Here is how the system works. Typically, you get a ticket from the chest that you can exchange for a skin. Let’s say 1 Fused ticket can be exchanged for 1 skin.

Well let’s say that you open a chest and you don’t get a ticket. Instead, you are given a token. You continue to open several more chests, and all of them failed, but you still get tokens. For each fail, you get 1 token.

Now Arenanet can set a predetermined number of tokens that you can exchange for a ticket.

We can set that at 30 – meaning, if you fail at RNG enough that you have failed 30 times, you should have 30 tokens and you shall be able to exchange those 30 tokens for 1 ticket.

The great thing about this is that this can even entice players to spend even more on the shop. For example, let’s say that I open 15 chests. 14 of those failed, so I have 14 tokens, but the 15th one gave me a ticket to exchange. Hurray!

But now I have 14 tokens left, so it’d be a waste to just have them lying around. I should try and open 16 more tokens so that I could buy another skin that I wouldn’t have went for otherwise!

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Possible ways of gathering gold?

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Vol.5241

There isn’t any place.

<- ex-hardcore farmer

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The hate for talent

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Vol.5241

There is no such thing as talent in MMOs (not including sPvP)

The only thing that you need in MMO’s is fast reaction times.

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Dust "fix" was a sidestep

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Vol.5241

Hello all, let’s keep in mind that this was just one change, it isn’t intended to be the one saving grace of the whole economy it was simply a market correction.

Standard: We saw that dust was too expensive and it wasn’t on a correcting trend. We made it easier and more prevalent to get dust without any major changes to the current balance.


We wanted a shift of the supply curve for dust without change the balance too much in any other markets, we were making a change in pseudo isoloation (bisolation if you will).

Sorry – I have forgotten most about economics from my university days, but I’m curious

What prompted you to decide to shift the supply curve rather than movement on the curve? Perhaps it was easier to implement this fix as a shift?

Looking at it, the ecto fix was brilliant and efficient. It served two different items and would be a relatively easy programming task.

But a movement on the curve would have to raise/drop the price of dust, and that I think would be complicated. For one, you have to figure out how to adjust the price of dust – change recipes? Increase drop rate? e.t.c.

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Argghhh It is Just Not Fair!

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Vol.5241

You gambled and loss. I’ve spent over 700g gambling.

If the item costs around 500g, then expect to lose if you invest anything below that

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what happened?

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Vol.5241

gw2spidy shows a sudden decrease in supply in a short time frame, so more than likely they got taken down by sellers.

I don’t suggest putting out that skin just yet. It’s a seller’s market but we don’t know what the price can be. Just wait for the buy orders to shoot up.

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So....That's it...?

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Vol.5241

Instead it’s almost like we went from helping them build a settlement and in the middle of a giant catastrophe we saw fireworks and ran off screaming “FESTIVAL!!!!” and left them there to die.

No one said Tyria was a full of honorable and pleasant folk

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Failed Events

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Vol.5241

Failed events happen all the time. If something fails, more often than not the NPC’s go away to regroup and the event restarts at a later time.

Other times, failed events revert to the previous event in a chain.

i.e. failing to hold Arah gates opens up the defense of anchorage chain, which will end up with the assault of Arah.

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Anyone else feel guilty killing Dulfy?

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I think dulfy gets more angry when we all unintentionally DDOS her site after each update/GM reset rather than killing her in fractals ;/

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Exotic Mini Pet Price Drop

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Either I still don’t get the issue, I’m clueless or dumb, or I don’t think that it’s an exploit. I’m thinking the 2nd.

Either way, this revolves around minipets so I doubt that even if this is considered an ‘exploit’, it’s not harmful to the game.

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IS there a plan for Private Mini Game Servers

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Vol.5241

While i am excited for private PVP servers like the next person, is there plans down the road for private mini game servers ? I would love to host a dragon ball tournament for my guild and things like that.

If they were to have something like this, there would have to be no rewards from the game itself. Rather, the rewards would have to be externally provided by players/guilds.

The reason why we have random match-ups is to prevent fixing matches. People would sabotage the game and could constantly farm winnings.

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Exotic Mini Pet Price Drop

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Vol.5241

I’m still clueless here.

I always thought mini’s were forgeable. So if people ended up with a Jack, then so what? They’re lucky. And they put it on the outpost.

I’m missing something, obviously?

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market manipulation through patches

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Vol.5241

Whenever you invest/speculate you need to understand that there are risks. That’s the whole point about investing.

Just like how in the real world, there will be shocks.

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T6 Dust Crisis

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Vol.5241

It’s only really Charged Lodestones that are too pricey at the moment and too difficult to acquire that really needs to be address IMO, especially considering some exotic weapons (that’s exotic, not legendary!) need 250 or even 350 of them, but I certainly wouldn’t be against other ways to acquire the other lodestones too without hurting their market value too much.

Also, kudos on the dust change. It was a great idea.
Ectos have been a little too low in value for a while (they seemed fairer when their price was stable at 30s~ than they did at 18s~), so this is a solid way to bring their value back up to roughly what it should be.
Likewise, Dust price has been climbing way too much since the thoughtless changes Anet made to the mobs that dropped them. First changing the mobs that you are supposed to farm for Dust drop charts to drop the Loot Bags usually instead, which only had a chance at dust among many other materials, removing any dedicated place to farm Crystalline Dust outside of red-team WvW, despite the fact all the other T6 mats had specific drop locations you could farm them. And then further changes to Orr without regard for Dust that made the mobs harder to kill, and the events less rewarding, reducing the supply even more.
As a result I had been anticipating the price of dust would rocket out of control for a long while, and it seems I was right (too bad I didn’t invest early cus I don’t care much for playing the market heh). This salvage change to Ectos is a nice well needed change that helps address the issues they created with Dust well.

I just hope now Anet have learned from there mistakes with dust supply and will think through changes like the ones we saw to Orr over the monthes more in the future before implimentation next time.

Thanks again!

They are expensive because they are largely driven by demand. And they are easy to acquire. There are several places to get them, from COE, to the sparks around Lyssa, Dwayna, and north of Caer.

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market manipulation through patches

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Vol.5241

Deal with it. I lost more than you and I ain’t kittening about it.

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((DELETE ME!))

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Vol.5241

Seems like the precursor scav hunt theory is a sound one. Well, at least a likeable and optimistic one.

Even better, this is brilliant subtle marketing from anet. They seem to be doing alot of subtle stuff recently, the dev on TC – hints about cantha.
Now of course they will deny all this, just because of potential market crashes and the fact devs love keeping players in the dark to drum up hype.

You don’t have to believe him, but the datamining says that it has nothing to do with the precursor hunt.

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Free Dragon Bash Minis!!

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Vol.5241

It’ll take them upwards of a few hours. Remember when we received those boxes for the Lost Shore compensation? Same thing.

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((DELETE ME!))

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Vol.5241

scroll up bro, he dismissed the precursors as a theory

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About the Thank You Gift: Thank You

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Vol.5241

I spent $1000, I wonder if I get a mount ;|

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((DELETE ME!))

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Vol.5241

BUY PRECURSORS

BUY BUY BUY

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Cheaters in Dragon Ball

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Vol.5241

How about punishment for people abusing it?

To be fair, the patch has only been active for 1-2 hours right? Maybe some people still had their nourishments available before going in and went insides without knowing.

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Magic find actually DOES effect chests

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Vol.5241

When in doubt, nerf Orr

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Vol.5241

Vol, now you are spoilering with your quote

deeerp

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Patch Notes up! Discussions

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Vol.5241

That too, but I have confidence that reef riders will not be farmable enough to compensate for the shelt/pen nerfs

I don’t know, have you checked the karka queen meta chain? Tons of reef riders which drop loot pop during those events in squads of ~8-12 depending on the number of players. The last time I did the meta chain I got something like 24 venom sacs for little effort. Granted, this was with a free 200% MF, so who knows what it’ll look like now.

Yeah, i’ve been farming it too but I usually stick to the karka side so I get bloods.

We would have to assume that:
-mobs in southsun lose their enraged buff
-events in southsun stay as it is (remember how they removed the instigator event as the story moved along?)

Either way, I still don’t see it as being as rewarding as shelt/pen has ever been.

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Vol.5241

That too, but I have confidence that reef riders will not be farmable enough to compensate for the shelt/pen nerfs

I mixed up dust and sacs..dust only drops from wraiths & ghosts

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Patch Notes up! Discussions

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Vol.5241

So that’s a loss of 60G per stack.

I think they actually over did this. The ratio is anywhere from 1:1 to 1:4. That’s a lot.

Remember when they came out with increased drop rate of moldy bags, and it crashed the market for t6 for a bit? Then they came out with a patch to fix it?

I think they’re gonna do the same here. Probably reduce the ratio in the range of 1:1 to 1:2

Mass increase to lower prices, small tweak to get the price where they want.. perfect set up. I do feel bad for people who hoarded such as yourself, that stuff can ruin games for people.

It is really nice to see ectos become “useful” again, sadly CoF P1 and meta event farming is really the only way to produce these kind of items and that sucks.

I really think they should adjust slowly rather than adjust quickly then react to fix things. Leaves a bad taste in people’s mouths. Start off with a 1:1 and then if it needs to drop more, increase to 1:3…

BTW I didn’t invest too much in Dust, I was just holding my accumulated dusts since Malchor farm.

But I went all out on Elaborate Totems and Powerful Venom Sacs. I bought 1000g worth.

I hope nothing bad happens to them ;|

Agree. But with the INSANE amount of negative publicity they had to make a change. It looks like its a 1:2 ratio so far so the next week should be interesting to see where the prices end up. I think ectos and dust will do the exact opposite, up/down first and then down/up later. People will hit meta events hard for both globs and dust, it will take a little while for the supplies to level out.

Lol why totems/venom sacs? Just ignoring the fact you have 1kG to throw around..

T5s should go up though, which is nice.

Totems I’m going off on history. I remember it was one of the few T6 mats (other than Blood) that went as high as 28s. I was hoping it’d go up to at least 22s.

Sacs are a supply issue. They only drop off of wraiths, spiders and ghosts, the latter only in WvW.

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Patch Notes up! Discussions

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Vol.5241

You do need to consider that significantly cheaper T6 dust prices makes the up-convert recipe for the other T6 materials more meaningful. I wouldn’t be surprised to see other T6 go down slightly in response to Dust going down.

Well darnit

Looks like my 1000g investment may go down a few hundred g

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Ectos and piles of crystalline dust

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Vol.5241

Dust needed to be adjusted, badly.

Meanwhile, ectoplasm is easier to obtain than dust and is plentiful.

Give the prices a week to settle.

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Vol.5241

Hmm… precursor Scavenger hunt..?

Oh sh-

SELL PRECURSORS SELL SELL SELL

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Sell Lodestones now

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Vol.5241

Colin just said this:

“Additional ways for other items like lodestones will arrive later this summer, there part of a much larger reward overhaul (outlined in very high level detail here) we’ll go into more low level detail when we update the status of this blog: https://www.guildwars2.com/en/news/colin-johanson-on-guild-wars-2-in-the-months-ahead/

The dust solution was a quicker low hanging fruit change outside of the larger reward system overhauls, so we figured we’d get it out quickly based on all of your feedback.

As always, thanks again for feedback folks!"

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T6 Dust Crisis

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Vol.5241

John Smith won’t be happy that you just shocked the Lodestone market, Colin :p

SELL SELL SELL

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Patch Notes up! Discussions

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Vol.5241

So that’s a loss of 60G per stack.

I think they actually over did this. The ratio is anywhere from 1:1 to 1:4. That’s a lot.

Remember when they came out with increased drop rate of moldy bags, and it crashed the market for t6 for a bit? Then they came out with a patch to fix it?

I think they’re gonna do the same here. Probably reduce the ratio in the range of 1:1 to 1:2

Mass increase to lower prices, small tweak to get the price where they want.. perfect set up. I do feel bad for people who hoarded such as yourself, that stuff can ruin games for people.

It is really nice to see ectos become “useful” again, sadly CoF P1 and meta event farming is really the only way to produce these kind of items and that sucks.

I really think they should adjust slowly rather than adjust quickly then react to fix things. Leaves a bad taste in people’s mouths. Start off with a 1:1 and then if it needs to drop more, increase to 1:3…

BTW I didn’t invest too much in Dust, I was just holding my accumulated dusts since Malchor farm.

But I went all out on Elaborate Totems and Powerful Venom Sacs. I bought 1000g worth.

I hope nothing bad happens to them ;|

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new rock formation in Gendarran Fields.

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Vol.5241

Expansion confirmed.

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Patch Notes up! Discussions

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Vol.5241

So that’s a loss of 60G per stack.

I think they actually over did this. The ratio is anywhere from 1:1 to 1:4. That’s a lot.

Remember when they came out with increased drop rate of moldy bags, and it crashed the market for t6 for a bit? Then they came out with a patch to fix it?

I think they’re gonna do the same here. Probably reduce the ratio in the range of 1:1 to 1:2

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For Science! Ecto to Dust

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Vol.5241

Master kits it is then!

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Patch Notes up! Discussions

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Vol.5241

Well, what is Gendarron? That’s a Kryta zone right? Humans? So what dragon do we have yet to see that is related to them? I don’t think there’s any.

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T6 Dust Crisis

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Vol.5241

based on spidy:

ectos up to 26 (it was around 18 yesterday)

dust up to 29 (it was around 40 yesterday)

I’m certain the drop in dust has a lot to do with speculator’s dumping their dust. If I were in game, I know I would.

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Patch Notes up! Discussions

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New rock formation in Gendarran fields, and no information beyond that mention… anyone else curious?

this,anyone?
/char

I am thinking Elder Dragon..

I’ve been speculating that at the conclusion of this event, we’ll have a dragon invade Lion’s Arch, leading us to the next Living Story

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Patch Notes up! Discussions

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Vol.5241

“•A new rock formation now appears in the Gendarran Fields.”

I don’t know about you guys, but how is this relevant? Could this be a hint towards the next Living Story?

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Vol.5241

I didn’t cash out on my dust To be honest I didn’t think they would implement this, I feel really stupid for not considering it.

On the plus side, I’m also sitting on stacks of globs. Interested to see how much we gain/lose in price for these two items.

I wonder if you salvage ectos, if you get 0-3, just like how you salvage for rares, and if you get more/less depending on the kit you use.

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Patch Notes up! Discussions

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Vol.5241

https://forum-en.gw2archive.eu/forum/info/news/Game-Update-Notes-June-11th-2013

Biggest news:
•Globs of Ectoplasm can now be salvaged into Piles of Crystalline Dust. This change should help Globs of Ectoplasm maintain a strong value in the economy and lower the cost of Crystalline Dust.

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Suggestion: Introduce Ecto -> T6 Exchange

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Vol.5241

“•Globs of Ectoplasm can now be salvaged into Piles of Crystalline Dust. This change should help Globs of Ectoplasm maintain a strong value in the economy and lower the cost of Crystalline Dust.”

LOL you called it

kitten i shoulda sold my stack of dusts

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Magic find actually DOES effect chests

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Vol.5241

kitten right mf works on chests!

http://i.imgur.com/9bRo8u1.jpg

Srsly though, they don’t.

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Colored chat / Item link abuse

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Vol.5241

Spam to me is repeatedly sending the same message in a short period of time.

Writing colored chat alone is not abuse.

If you don’t like it, just block it just like any other person you find annoying

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Anyone watching the price on t6 C. Dust?

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Vol.5241

Dust will rise higher than 40s in a few weeks if Anet doesn’t do something about it (that’s why I’m holding my stacks)

In the meantime I’m buying I’m loads of totems and sacs for the inevitable jump.

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State of the game

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Vol.5241

The game is excellent until you get to 80. From there, opinions vary.

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Personal attacks against TP traders

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Vol.5241

I have no objection to CEO’s or similar high level executives getting paid well for what they do. I just feel that there is a certain point where the amount of remuneration starts to get excessive. Say you make $3,000,000 a year. Seriously, what on earth are you going to DO with that kind of money? Spend it on private jets? Buy cars as presents for your friends? There comes a point where people start spending money just because they have nothing better to do with it.

Well I honestly don’t think anyone out there is worth that much money, except for presidents/prime ministers as well as the ministers who handle banking/economy.

But in spirit of the BLTC, everything revolves around supply/demand.

Companies are always in the hunt for top talent, and those that are publicly traded are willing to pay top dollar for it. Demand of talented people is always high (they can fill CEO-candidates in director or VP positions) while the supply is very low. Is he worth it? No. But companies are willing to overpay.

A great example is in sports – specifically, a MLB player named Vernon Wells. He signed a massive contract and immediately after he played like kitten. People hated on him and booed him mercilessly. But he never complained and always showed up to work and gave his effort. But he did something no other big-name player did. He himself admitted that he wasn’t worth the hundreds of millions that he signed for. But he also said that if someone offers you that much money, you’re stupid to not take it.

I’m sure that if anyone here were offered millions to work as a CEO, of say, Monsanto (the most evil company in existence), they’d take it

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Personal attacks against TP traders

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Vol.5241

Everyone loves to hate on CEOs for some reason..

I would reason to say that’s b/c once a company gets to the level where a CEO is needed that company becomes more based around profits and efficiency than anything else. That includes not benefiting employees if it comes in any conflict with maximizing profits. While an employees might not receive a bonus on which they rely in slow times (or even laid off), you can bet your bottom dollar the CEO will get a large one, that tbh they don’t really need. Ofc there are exceptions, but for the most part…business as usual.

Nearly every company out there, public or private operates on the notion of self-sustainability. No company out there is going to put itself in a position that would threaten it’s existence – even non-profits.

That’s the job of the CEO. That may mean having to make necessary cutbacks and uncomfortable decisions, but he has to make the call. Money is priority.

Just because a CEO doesn’t need a bonus doesn’t mean they shouldn’t be rewarded with it. More than likely that bonus was negotiated into the contract upon employment. After all, if you are in high-demand for your skills and expertise, wouldn’t it make sense to ask the most out of a company? I’m sure everyone would want a CEO to be awarded stock options instead of bonuses, but if you are talented enough, you will get what you want.

Anyways, I’m rambling off-topic.

TP traders are legit.

If you look at the core of what jobs are….of what businesses are….they are ways of producing a means to obtain things one cannot or do not want to achieve themselves due to many number of reasons. They exist to provide for people not the other way around. Once a job or a business puts itself above providing for those that enable it….it becomes at the fundamental level, flawed.

Yes, I have a moral objection to CEO’s getting massive bonuses while multitudes of lower level employees are being laid off due to economic lulls. Even if I were as short sighted, I still wouldn’t give myself desert while my kids go hungry. I simply couldn’t handle knowing I took more (when I didn’t need) when others were denied due to lack of what I took.

As mentioned previously, these bonuses more often negotiated before hand, often for meeting certain metrics, such as reducing overhead by 5%, raising seasonal sales (or even reducing losses). If you had a clause in your contract that rewarded you money – why in the hell would you refuse it? Yes I agree with you, it looks unfair that people get laid off but the higher-up’s make money. But it was a clause negotiated before hand. You’re throwing way thousands of dollars just so that you can look good in front of the public?

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Upset at recent Cursed Shore changes!

in Dynamic Events

Posted by: Vol.5241

Vol.5241

So what you’re telling me is that… All the original players got to get their ‘super-prestige’ equipment in a decent amount of time, but I have to spend 6 months to a year before I can get mine? When they got theirs in a matter of 1-3 months?

.

That’s one of my concerns as well.

You’re gonna have new players coming in every day, and they’re gonna see veteran players in t3 cultural set and multiple legendaries. And they’ll be like, “Oh wow, I can’t wait to get one of those” But they won’t realize that they were able to afford them because they were around for farming.

Now, no new player will be available to get that end-game gear without buying gems. And that’s apparently how Anet wants it to be.

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Mjolnir/Infinite Light vs Legendary

in Crafting

Posted by: Vol.5241

Vol.5241

I wanted to get two Infinite Light’s but there just isn’t any class that will use both of them frequently. Only Mesmer and Warrior can dual wield them and they’re not all that great.

Same thing with Mjolnir.

Now if there was a skin similar to Mjolnir/Infinite Light for, say, staff or GS – I’d definitely get it.

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